Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 14:50
CHOI WAN HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("CHOI WAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LOCH TAY, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D Eustace, won, with TALENTS AMBITION second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite TALENTS AMBITION finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOCH TAY Closed strongly BO-/XB 1:37.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 8 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly XB/B2 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 5 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB/P2 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 8.6 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SO YOU WILL TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | NOISY BOY P2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | NEZHA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | STURDY RUBY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER SR/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 9 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | JOLTIN Closed strongly CP H T Mo · D A Hayes | H T Mo | D A Hayes | 14 | 220.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | KEEN MOLLY B-/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 10 | 50.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ALLCASH B/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TALENTS AMBITION | 16.8% | 5.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR | 14.1% | 7.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER | 11.0% | 9.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | ENDEARED | 10.0% | 10.00 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | NEZHA | 8.8% | 11.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | SO YOU WILL | 8.1% | 12.34 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 8.1% | 12.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | NOISY BOY | 4.5% | 22.47 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.3% | 23.09 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | STURDY RUBY | 4.3% | 23.16 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 3.8% | 26.28 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | KEEN MOLLY | 3.3% | 29.96 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | LOCH TAY | 1.7% | 57.81 | 1 |
| 14 | 13 | JOLTIN | 1.1% | 93.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 124
PLACE
2 17.5
4 41
8 26
QUINELLA
2,4 313
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 108.5
2,8 73
4,8 175.5
FORECAST
4,2 751
TIERCE
4,2,8 5,260
TRIO
2,4,8 898
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 1,378
QUARTET
4,2,8,7 36,652
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/4,9/2 159
1/4,9/4 3,853
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5>4,9/2,4,8 27,933
8TH DOUBLE
4,9/2 13
4,9/4 376
SIX UP
1,2/5,11/7,9/1,11/4,5,9/2,4 4,996
1/5/7/1/4,9/4 2,552,382
14 [Others] —
2 [A S Cruz], 8 [D Eustace], 12 [C H Yip] —