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Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 22:50

CHOI WAN HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Hammer 9.21 #6 NOISY BOY — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:37.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 LOCH TAY Closed strongly BO-/XB 1:37.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D Eustace 8 12.0 —
2 2 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly XB/B2 Z Purton · M Newnham 5 4.6 SH
3 8 ENDEARED Closed strongly XB/P2 A Atzeni · J Size 3 8.6 SH
4 7 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 13 8.4 3/4
5 10 SO YOU WILL TT A Badel · C Fownes 11 20.0 3/4
6 6 NOISY BOY P2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 1 9.1 3/4
7 9 NEZHA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 12 13.0 1-1/2
8 3 DRAGON AIR FORCE TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 4 7.2 2-1/4
9 1 VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor 6 45.0 4-1/4
10 14 STURDY RUBY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 2 53.0 4-1/4
11 12 PACKING FIGHTER SR/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 9 5.5 4-1/2
12 13 JOLTIN Closed strongly CP H T Mo · D A Hayes 14 220.0 10-3/4
13 11 KEEN MOLLY B-/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace 10 50.0 11
14 5 TELECOM FIGHTERS Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 7 16.0 11-1/4
— 0 ALLCASH B/TT · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 ("CHOI WAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LOCH TAY, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D Eustace, won, with TALENTS AMBITION second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite TALENTS AMBITION finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOCH TAY—2. TALENTS AMBITION+0.1L3. ENDEARED+0.1L4. ROMANTIC THOR+0.75L5. SO YOU WILL+0.75L6. NOISY BOY+0.75L7. NEZHA+1.5L8. DRAGON AIR FORCE+2.25L9. VOYAGE SAMURAI+4.25L10. STURDY RUBY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TALENTS AMBITION (16.8%) finished 2nd — the winner LOCH TAY was rated #13. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 TALENTS AMBITION 16.8% 5.94 2
2 7 ROMANTIC THOR 14.1% 7.10 4
3 12 PACKING FIGHTER 11.0% 9.08 11
4 8 ENDEARED 10.0% 10.00 3
5 9 NEZHA 8.8% 11.32 7
6 10 SO YOU WILL 8.1% 12.34 5
7 3 DRAGON AIR FORCE 8.1% 12.34 8
8 6 NOISY BOY 4.5% 22.47 6
9 5 TELECOM FIGHTERS 4.3% 23.09 14
10 14 STURDY RUBY 4.3% 23.16 10
11 1 VOYAGE SAMURAI 3.8% 26.28 9
12 11 KEEN MOLLY 3.3% 29.96 13
13 4 LOCH TAY 1.7% 57.81 1
14 13 JOLTIN 1.1% 93.20 12
TALENTS AMBITIONROMANTIC THORPACKING FIGHTERENDEAREDNEZHASO YOU WILLDRAGON AIR FORCENOISY BOYTELECOM FIGHTERSSTURDY RUBYVOYAGE SAMURAIKEEN MOLLYLOCH TAY — wonJOLTIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 124

PLACE

2 17.5

4 41

8 26

QUINELLA

2,4 313

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 108.5

2,8 73

4,8 175.5

FORECAST

4,2 751

TIERCE

4,2,8 5,260

TRIO

2,4,8 898

FIRST 4

2,4,7,8 1,378

QUARTET

4,2,8,7 36,652

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

1/4,9/2 159

1/4,9/4 3,853

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5>4,9/2,4,8 27,933

8TH DOUBLE

4,9/2 13

4,9/4 376

SIX UP

1,2/5,11/7,9/1,11/4,5,9/2,4 4,996

1/5/7/1/4,9/4 2,552,382

14 [Others] —

2 [A S Cruz], 8 [D Eustace], 12 [C H Yip] —