沙田 · 2026-04-01 · 11:45
NAM SHAN HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-04-01沙田第3場「NAM SHAN HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Kingscote策騎、C W Chang訓練的LESLIE勝出。SUPREME AGILITY獲得亞軍；HINOKAMI KAGURA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門NEVER PETER OUT跑獲第5名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LESLIE 後段發力 B 1:38.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 6 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 51.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | BULL ATTITUDE 後段發力 B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE 後段發力 P Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FASHION LEGEND 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 14 | 42.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY TT J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 7 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | BLOSSOMY B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 49.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 6.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE 早段領放 B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | COLOURFUL GAN CP-/SR-/B2 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 112.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | NOVA KNIGHT B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 161.0 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KYRUS TREASURE CP/TT- · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NEVER PETER OUT | 31.8% | 3.15 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | BULL ATTITUDE | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY | 10.2% | 9.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 7.0% | 14.34 | 6 |
| 6 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 6.6% | 15.09 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO | 5.2% | 19.29 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY | 3.3% | 30.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | LESLIE | 3.1% | 31.75 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | BLOSSOMY | 2.9% | 34.82 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | FASHION LEGEND | 2.7% | 37.52 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 2.1% | 47.43 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.9% | 51.56 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | NOVA KNIGHT | 1.1% | 87.71 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 119
PLACE
1 33.5
7 138
12 30
QUINELLA
1,12 701
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 989.5
1,12 200
7,12 874.5
FORECAST
12,1 1,357
TIERCE
12,1,7 37,913
TRIO
1,7,12 7,685
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 19,918
QUARTET
12,1,7,10 453,143
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,10/F 3,762
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 186
8/12 741