沙田 · 2026-04-01 · 13:15
MA TAU WAI HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-04-01沙田第6場「MA TAU WAI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、C H Yip訓練的NATURAL HIGH勝出。JUICY DRAGON獲得亞軍；TOURBILLON GOLFER獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門ONE MAN SHOW跑獲第5名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NATURAL HIGH B-/V1 1:08.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 18.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | JUICY DRAGON V A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 12 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | JUSTIFYING B-/H-/TT J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 9 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ONE MAN SHOW XB Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ACE POWER B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 7.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 5 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FUN ELITE TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB-/B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KOL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY ALLIANCE XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 163.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CONSPIRATOR · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JUICY DRAGON | 22.5% | 4.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | ONE MAN SHOW | 22.3% | 4.48 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 14.8% | 6.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | ACE POWER | 9.1% | 10.93 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | KOL | 7.4% | 13.47 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | FUN ELITE | 6.0% | 16.79 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | JUSTIFYING | 4.4% | 22.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | NATURAL HIGH | 4.0% | 25.08 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.3% | 30.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 2.5% | 40.27 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 2.2% | 45.25 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 1.5% | 66.68 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 183
PLACE
1 20
7 55
9 16.5
QUINELLA
7,9 666
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 196
1,9 65.5
7,9 181.5
FORECAST
7,9 1,608
TIERCE
7,9,1 9,420
TRIO
1,7,9 1,249
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 2,070
QUARTET
7,9,1,4 72,915
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/7 1,480
5/9 82.5