沙田 · 2026-05-09 · 09:10
POK FU LAM RESERVOIR HANDICAP
第 10場
2026-05-09沙田第10場「POK FU LAM RESERVOIR HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的SMART AVENUE勝出。AMAZING PARTNERS獲得亞軍；ENDUED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SMART AVENUE 後段發力 B-/V1/TT 1:34.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | ENDUED 後段發力 E/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BLAZING WUKONG 後段發力 B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | WITHALLMYFAITH 後段發力 B/XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HYMNBOOK 後段發力 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | RISING PHOENIX B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FAMILY JEWEL 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LEGEND WINNER B/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 10 | 63.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT H Y Yuen · D Eustace | H Y Yuen | D Eustace | 13 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMP V/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 69.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | M M CONCORD 早段領放 B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 32.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | CALL ME MAGNIFIQUE CP-/XB-/TT1 E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 12 | 37.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | MASTER TRILLION H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 53.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | MAKE YOU SMILE B1 · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| WV | 10 | HAPPY TERCENTENARY SR-/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AMAZING PARTNERS | 30.9% | 3.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SMART AVENUE | 14.5% | 6.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BLAZING WUKONG | 14.3% | 7.01 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | ENDUED | 6.5% | 15.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 6.3% | 15.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | FAMILY JEWEL | 6.1% | 16.46 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | HYMNBOOK | 4.6% | 21.87 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | MISTER DAPPER | 4.3% | 23.45 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | RISING PHOENIX | 4.0% | 25.21 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | LEGEND WINNER | 2.1% | 46.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | CALL ME MAGNIFIQUE | 2.1% | 47.95 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | M M CONCORD | 1.7% | 59.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | MASTER TRILLION | 1.6% | 63.52 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMP | 1.2% | 86.95 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 29.5
PLACE
3 24
4 21
5 14
QUINELLA
4,5 95
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77
3,5 52.5
4,5 37
FORECAST
5,4 158
TIERCE
5,4,3 582
TRIO
3,4,5 141
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 190
QUARTET
5,4,3,2 2,503
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
7/4 181
7/5 930