沙田 · 2026-05-09 · 07:00
CASTLE PEAK HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-05-09沙田第6場「CASTLE PEAK HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的INVICTUS DRAGON勝出。LUCKY MAN獲得亞軍；INVICTUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門SUPER DRAGON跑獲第9名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVICTUS DRAGON 後段發力 1:22.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY MAN 後段發力 BO/H H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | INVICTUS XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 7 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR SATYR CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BEST WORLD 後段發力 CP1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DECISION LINK 後段發力 V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION 早段領放 B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | CHEERFUL WONGCHOY H/PC E Brown · P C Ng | E Brown | P C Ng | 2 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER DRAGON 後段發力 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 3.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CELESTIAL STRIDER 後段發力 TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 11 | 115.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MONEY TYCOON M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 44.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 54.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | LUCKY BID TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 23.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | LEATHER GOODS B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 85.0 | 22-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SOLID CAR B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | AQUAMAN CP-/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 20.0% | 4.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER DRAGON | 17.2% | 5.82 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY MAN | 15.2% | 6.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | DECISION LINK | 13.1% | 7.64 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | BEST WORLD | 7.3% | 13.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION | 7.2% | 13.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR SATYR | 5.1% | 19.63 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY BID | 4.0% | 24.99 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | INVICTUS | 2.6% | 38.38 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | CHEERFUL WONGCHOY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE | 1.9% | 51.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | MONEY TYCOON | 1.5% | 68.83 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | CELESTIAL STRIDER | 1.4% | 69.11 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | LEATHER GOODS | 1.1% | 92.46 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 44.5
PLACE
3 57.5
6 18
7 18
QUINELLA
6,7 115
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 157.5
3,7 165.5
6,7 46.5
FORECAST
6,7 223
TIERCE
6,7,3 3,632
TRIO
3,6,7 852
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 3,540
QUARTET
6,7,3,5 44,854
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 9,674.5
4/7 2,163