沙田 · 2026-05-09 · 08:05
LEI YUE MUN PARK HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-05-09沙田第8場「LEI YUE MUN PARK HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C L Chau策騎、F C Lor訓練的EFFORTLESS WIN勝出。THRIVING BROTHERS獲得亞軍；GOLD PATCH獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SPICY STANDARD跑獲第7名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EFFORTLESS WIN 1:09.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | GOLD PATCH XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | THUNDER ACTION M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 46.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES XB-/B/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 119.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ACE CHAMPION TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SPICY STANDARD A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY MY WAY B- L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 9 | 64.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CHILL BUDDY TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | JUBILANT WINNER B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | KANSAS CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 116.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SOVEREIGN FUND CP1 · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MOTOR B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLD PATCH | 48.5% | 2.06 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | CHILL BUDDY | 16.2% | 6.16 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | SPICY STANDARD | 11.2% | 8.93 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | EFFORTLESS WIN | 5.1% | 19.63 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 4.4% | 22.91 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | JUBILANT WINNER | 4.3% | 23.52 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | ACE CHAMPION | 3.3% | 30.51 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 1.8% | 54.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY MY WAY | 1.8% | 54.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | THUNDER ACTION | 1.5% | 68.11 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.2% | 85.02 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | KANSAS | 0.7% | 140.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 121
PLACE
3 14.5
7 32
11 32
QUINELLA
7,11 788
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 75
3,11 64.5
7,11 192.5
FORECAST
7,11 1,519
TIERCE
7,11,3 6,395
TRIO
3,7,11 720
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 3,635
QUARTET
7,11,3,8 139,393
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
13/7 1,522.5
13/11 428