沙田 · 2026-05-09 · 09:45
SAI WAN SHAN HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-05-09沙田第11場「SAI WAN SHAN HANDICAP」，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bowman策騎、K L Man訓練的PATCH OF STARS勝出。CRIMSON FLASH獲得亞軍；PUBLIC ATTENTION獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門HOT DELIGHT跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PATCH OF STARS TT 1:09.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 6.9 | — |
| 2 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH B A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION B- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 9.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | HOT DELIGHT TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 11 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY WITH YOU H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 7 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BULB GENERAL CP/TT J Moreira · J Richards | J Moreira | J Richards | 4 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 59.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 8 | 73.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 67.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | AKASHVANI B P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 9 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | YOUNG CHAMPION B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| — | 0 | PAKISTAN LEGACY V/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HOT DELIGHT | 36.6% | 2.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | BULB GENERAL | 24.7% | 4.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | PATCH OF STARS | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH | 6.0% | 16.62 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | AKASHVANI | 5.1% | 19.66 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 3.5% | 28.72 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 3.3% | 30.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GUSTOSISIMO | 3.2% | 31.71 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION | 2.0% | 49.71 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE | 1.5% | 66.65 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 1.4% | 70.40 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.2% | 81.09 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 69.5
PLACE
2 49.5
4 17
12 27
QUINELLA
2,4 661
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 171.5
2,12 327
4,12 78.5
FORECAST
4,2 1,049
TIERCE
4,2,12 12,253
TRIO
2,4,12 2,513
FIRST 4
2,4,11,12 826
QUARTET
4,2,12,11 32,947
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
5/2 115.5
5/4 240.5
2ND TREBLE
7/5/2 3,516
7/5/4 6,698
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/2,4,12 54,526
SIX UP
6,7/8,13/7,11/7,13/4,5/2,4 71,712
6/13/7/7/5/4 3,881,629
1 [Z Purton] —
6 [C H Yip] —