Sha Tin · 2026-05-09 · 15:00
CASTLE PEAK HANDICAP
Race 6
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVICTUS DRAGON Closed strongly 1:22.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | INVICTUS XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 7 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR SATYR CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BEST WORLD Closed strongly CP1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DECISION LINK Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION Led early B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | CHEERFUL WONGCHOY H/PC E Brown · P C Ng | E Brown | P C Ng | 2 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER DRAGON Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 3.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CELESTIAL STRIDER Closed strongly TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 11 | 115.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MONEY TYCOON M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 44.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 54.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | LUCKY BID TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 23.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | LEATHER GOODS B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 85.0 | 22-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SOLID CAR B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | AQUAMAN CP-/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 ("CASTLE PEAK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-09 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. INVICTUS DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with LUCKY MAN second and INVICTUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SUPER DRAGON finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 20.0% | 4.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER DRAGON | 17.2% | 5.82 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY MAN | 15.2% | 6.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | DECISION LINK | 13.1% | 7.64 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | BEST WORLD | 7.3% | 13.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION | 7.2% | 13.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR SATYR | 5.1% | 19.63 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY BID | 4.0% | 24.99 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | INVICTUS | 2.6% | 38.38 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | CHEERFUL WONGCHOY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE | 1.9% | 51.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | MONEY TYCOON | 1.5% | 68.83 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | CELESTIAL STRIDER | 1.4% | 69.11 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | LEATHER GOODS | 1.1% | 92.46 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 44.5
PLACE
3 57.5
6 18
7 18
QUINELLA
6,7 115
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 157.5
3,7 165.5
6,7 46.5
FORECAST
6,7 223
TIERCE
6,7,3 3,632
TRIO
3,6,7 852
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 3,540
QUARTET
6,7,3,5 44,854
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 9,674.5
4/7 2,163