Sha Tin · 2026-05-09 · 04:30
BUTTERFLY BAY PLATE
Race 1
Race 1 ("BUTTERFLY BAY PLATE") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-09 was Griffin Race over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SPICE BAG, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with SHARP PLANET second and EVER WEALTH third. The 3.4 favourite SHARP PLANET finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPICE BAG 0:57.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 4 | 49.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SHARP PLANET TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | EVER WEALTH H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | GAUDIUM MAGNUM B1 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ALMIGHTY WARRIOR XB1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SHOW ME YOUR LOVE H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | TALENTS CHAMPION CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SILVERY KNIGHT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIOUS HERO K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 67.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | SECRET INGREDIENT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 6.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ALMIGHTY WARRIOR | 18.1% | 5.54 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | EVER WEALTH | 17.6% | 5.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SHARP PLANET | 16.9% | 5.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | GAUDIUM MAGNUM | 14.2% | 7.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | TALENTS CHAMPION | 10.8% | 9.26 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SECRET INGREDIENT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | SHOW ME YOUR LOVE | 6.0% | 16.75 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | SILVERY KNIGHT | 3.5% | 28.95 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SPICE BAG | 2.7% | 36.90 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | GLORIOUS HERO | 1.4% | 72.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 499
PLACE
2 14
5 105.5
6 31
QUINELLA
2,5 1,217.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 365
2,6 85
5,6 557.5
FORECAST
5,2 1,708
TIERCE
5,2,6 30,907
TRIO
2,5,6 3,858
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 1,521
QUARTET
5,2,6,7 77,805