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Sha Tin · 2026-05-09 · 06:00

LEI YUE MUN PUBLIC RIDING SCHOOL HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 4 ("LEI YUE MUN PUBLIC RIDING SCHOOL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-09 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ONESHOT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won, with MASTER PAYMENT second and BUSTLING CITY third. The 4.3 favourite CAP LINER finished 6th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 0:57.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 ONESHOT CP1/TT 0:57.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo 9 70.0
2 4 MASTER PAYMENT TT Z Purton · C H Yip 1 4.4 3/4
3 11 BUSTLING CITY H-/SR- B Avdulla · D A Hayes 10 8.1 3/4
4 7 RAPID PHANTOM TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 2 7.4 2
5 12 CASA PRIMO XB R Kingscote · C W Chang 6 51.0 2-1/4
6 14 CAP LINER B1/TT J Moreira · J Richards 12 4.3 2-1/4
7 8 STORM MIRROR B1 J Orman · P C Ng 13 4.4 3-1/4
8 9 WINALOT TT1 K C Leung · K W Lui 3 73.0 3-3/4
9 1 ALSONSO B-/CP2/TT1 H Bowman · M Newnham 8 16.0 4
10 2 E HO HO TT C Y Ho · K L Man 14 60.0 4-3/4
11 13 COMET RADIANCE CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 43.0 5
12 6 GRAND NOVA E A Atzeni · J Size 4 15.0 5-1/2
13 3 BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT P N Wong · W K Mo 7 19.0 9-1/2
14 5 TACTICAL VICTORY B-/V1/TT H T Mo · W Y So 11 233.0 30-3/4
0 FLOWING E1/TT1 · C H Yip
0 DAY DAY VICTORY · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ONESHOT2. MASTER PAYMENT+0.75L3. BUSTLING CITY+0.75L4. RAPID PHANTOM+2L5. CASA PRIMO+2.25L6. CAP LINER+2.25L7. STORM MIRROR+3.25L8. WINALOT+3.75L9. ALSONSO+4L10. E HO HO+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MASTER PAYMENT (37.6%) finished 2nd — the winner ONESHOT was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MASTER PAYMENT 37.6% 2.66 2
2 7 RAPID PHANTOM 14.7% 6.82 4
3 8 STORM MIRROR 10.0% 10.05 7
4 6 GRAND NOVA 9.9% 10.08 12
5 1 ALSONSO 5.7% 17.47 9
6 11 BUSTLING CITY 4.7% 21.06 3
7 3 BEAUTY THUNDER 4.0% 25.06 13
8 13 COMET RADIANCE 2.9% 34.32 11
9 14 CAP LINER 2.6% 38.28 6
10 9 WINALOT 2.2% 44.66 8
11 12 CASA PRIMO 2.2% 45.97 5
12 10 ONESHOT 1.4% 69.13 1
13 2 E HO HO 1.1% 90.28 10
14 5 TACTICAL VICTORY 0.9% 112.06 14
MASTER PAYMENTRAPID PHANTOMSTORM MIRRORGRAND NOVAALSONSOBUSTLING CITYBEAUTY THUNDERCOMET RADIANCECAP LINERWINALOTCASA PRIMOONESHOT — wonE HO HOTACTICAL VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 703.5

PLACE

4 18

10 149

11 27

QUINELLA

4,10 1,515.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 432.5

4,11 86.5

10,11 810.5

FORECAST

10,4 4,769

TIERCE

10,4,11 59,723

TRIO

4,10,11 4,860

FIRST 4

4,7,10,11 7,481

QUARTET

10,4,11,7 283,404

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

12/4 36

12/10 2,394