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Sha Tin · 2026-05-09 · 06:30

THE HONG KONG RIDING FOR THE DISABLED ASSOCIATION CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 5 ("THE HONG KONG RIDING FOR THE DISABLED ASSOCIATION CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. REAL GENTLEMAN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won, with GROUPER second and POSITIVE SMILE third. The 2.8 favourite FLASHING FIGHTER finished 9th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:10.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 REAL GENTLEMAN CP-/H/TT 1:10.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 12 158.0
2 6 GROUPER TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum 9 13.0 1/2
3 2 POSITIVE SMILE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 10.0 3/4
4 7 E HOPEFUL TT E Brown · W Y So 1 17.0 1-1/2
5 9 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER B/TT J Orman · D J Hall 3 3.6 1-1/2
6 1 CONRAD PATCH CP1/TT P N Wong · W K Mo 10 7.6 2
7 8 TRENDY RUSH CP1 A Badel · J Richards 8 83.0 4-1/2
8 12 AMAZING FUN TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 6.8 5
9 3 FLASHING FIGHTER H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 7 2.8 5-1/4
10 5 GRACEFUL HEART XB/CP1 L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 25.0 6-3/4
11 10 IMPENDING LEGACY B/TT1 R Kingscote · M Newnham 5 70.0 7-3/4
12 11 EMERGING STAR B H T Mo · C W Chang 6 192.0 13-3/4
0 HEROIC VANGUARD TT · C H Yip
0 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REAL GENTLEMAN2. GROUPER+0.5L3. POSITIVE SMILE+0.75L4. E HOPEFUL+1.5L5. BROWNNEEDSFURTHER+1.5L6. CONRAD PATCH+2L7. TRENDY RUSH+4.5L8. AMAZING FUN+5L9. FLASHING FIGHTER+5.25L10. GRACEFUL HEART+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FLASHING FIGHTER (29.7%) finished 9th — the winner REAL GENTLEMAN was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 FLASHING FIGHTER 29.7% 3.37 9
2 9 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER 24.1% 4.16 5
3 6 GROUPER 12.5% 7.99 2
4 2 POSITIVE SMILE 8.9% 11.27 3
5 1 CONRAD PATCH 8.1% 12.27 6
6 5 GRACEFUL HEART 5.5% 18.28 10
7 12 AMAZING FUN 3.4% 29.07 8
8 7 E HOPEFUL 2.2% 46.24 4
9 8 TRENDY RUSH 1.8% 54.66 7
10 10 IMPENDING LEGACY 1.6% 61.58 11
11 11 EMERGING STAR 1.1% 90.46 12
12 4 REAL GENTLEMAN 1.1% 90.86 1
FLASHING FIGHTERBROWNNEEDSFURTHERGROUPERPOSITIVE SMILECONRAD PATCHGRACEFUL HEARTAMAZING FUNE HOPEFULTRENDY RUSHIMPENDING LEGACYEMERGING STARREAL GENTLEMAN — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 1,583.5

PLACE

2 26

4 384

6 30

QUINELLA

4,6 11,991.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 2,116

2,6 159

4,6 2,686

FORECAST

4,6 10,307

TIERCE

4,6,2 100,444

TRIO

2,4,6 21,411

FIRST 4

2,4,6,7 39,246

QUARTET

4,6,2,7 1,513,518

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

12/10/4 244,098

12/10/6 4,415

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,11/2,4,6 856,002

4TH DOUBLE

10/4 49,548

10/6 861