沙田 · 2026-05-17 · 08:40
PORT SHELTER HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-05-17沙田第8場「PORT SHELTER HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、J Richards訓練的ROMANTIC FANTASY勝出。SUPER GOLDENDRAGON獲得亞軍；ABSOLUTE HONOUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門PACKING FIGHTER跑獲第5名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 後段發力 1:49.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 9.9 | — |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 後段發力 BO/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | KYRUS TREASURE 後段發力 B- M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 3 | 71.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | PACKING FIGHTER 後段發力 SR-/XB2/TT- A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 14 | 2.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR 早段領放 TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FLUORESCENCE B2/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 223.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GRAND TURBO 後段發力 TT E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 1 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STAR BROSE 後段發力 CP/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 11 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | FORTUNE KINGO 後段發力 B H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 7 | 19.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | VERMILION TEMPEST TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 6.7 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | STAR ELEGANCE B/TT1 H Y Yuen · D J Whyte | H Y Yuen | D J Whyte | 5 | 37.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | STATE SECURITY CP-/B1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 101.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | CHARITY GAIN TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 10 | 81.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MASSIVE GLORY CP/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SERANGOON B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 21.3% | 4.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | VERMILION TEMPEST | 12.9% | 7.77 | 11 |
| 3 | 14 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 10.2% | 9.85 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING FIGHTER | 8.0% | 12.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | STAR BROSE | 7.6% | 13.15 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | GRAND TURBO | 7.4% | 13.50 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 7.3% | 13.76 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | STAR ELEGANCE | 7.0% | 14.33 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | FORTUNE KINGO | 4.9% | 20.23 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 4.7% | 21.49 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | CHARITY GAIN | 3.6% | 27.98 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | KYRUS TREASURE | 2.6% | 38.80 | 4 |
| 13 | 6 | STATE SECURITY | 1.6% | 64.16 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | FLUORESCENCE | 1.1% | 88.20 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 99
PLACE
5 17.5
7 51
14 26.5
QUINELLA
7,14 784
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 141
5,14 68
7,14 201
FORECAST
14,7 1,400
TIERCE
14,7,5 7,398
TRIO
5,7,14 1,004
FIRST 4
5,7,11,14 8,998
QUARTET
14,7,5,11 210,582
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/7 176
1/14 456.5