沙田 · 2026-05-17 · 06:15
LUK WU HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-05-17沙田第4場「LUK WU HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由K C Leung策騎、W K Mo訓練的LITTLE MONSTER勝出。BETTER AND BETTER獲得亞軍；MIGHTY FIGHTER獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門PAPAYA BROSE跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT 1:10.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 7.5 | — |
| 2 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER H/P/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | MIGHTY FIGHTER TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PAPAYA BROSE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | OLDTOWN XB/B1 J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 10 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NAVAS G XB H Y Yuen · D J Whyte | H Y Yuen | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SPEEDY POWER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 68.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | A TIME FOR US B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 42.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 80.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | AMO ERGO SUM B Avdulla · B Crawford | B Avdulla | B Crawford | 2 | 101.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MASSIVE REWARD CP1/TT E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 6 | 33.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | VIVA BOSS H1/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 48.0 | 17 |
| — | 0 | REGROWTH WINNER B/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LEAN MASTER B/TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PAPAYA BROSE | 36.2% | 2.76 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | NAVAS G | 15.5% | 6.46 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER | 14.2% | 7.02 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | MIGHTY FIGHTER | 9.0% | 11.14 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | LITTLE MONSTER | 6.9% | 14.53 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | OLDTOWN | 6.8% | 14.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | A TIME FOR US | 2.9% | 35.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | SPEEDY POWER | 2.1% | 47.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING | 2.0% | 50.77 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | AMO ERGO SUM | 1.8% | 55.52 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | VIVA BOSS | 1.3% | 74.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | MASSIVE REWARD | 1.3% | 76.26 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 75.5
PLACE
8 19.5
10 18
11 24.5
QUINELLA
10,11 204
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 57.5
8,11 88
10,11 64.5
FORECAST
11,10 428
TIERCE
11,10,8 2,357
TRIO
8,10,11 376
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 252
QUARTET
11,10,8,1 8,797
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
3/10 88
3/11 1,319.5