沙田 · 2026-05-17 · 10:20
SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-05-17沙田第11場「SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為YIELDING。由H Bowman策騎、J Size訓練的BRILLIANT EXPRESS勝出。ALL'S WELL獲得亞軍；AEROVOLANIC獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以5.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS 後段發力 1:23.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | ALL'S WELL 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC 後段發力 CP Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | KEMPES 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 12 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN 後段發力 TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DREAMING TOGETHER 後段發力 CP- C L Chau · B Crawford | C L Chau | B Crawford | 10 | 124.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | URANUS STAR XB H Y Yuen · K W Lui | H Y Yuen | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | EVERYONE'S STAR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY BOSS CP/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 3 | 6.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH 後段發力 XB-/TT1 H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 62.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | TIN FOOK 早段領放 B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.3 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GHORGAN 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 8.5 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | NATURAL NUMBERS B E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 6 | 20.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHOUT RHYME CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 141.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | TANG HEART B-/XB- · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | WINNING GOLD TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC | 18.9% | 5.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY BOSS | 13.6% | 7.34 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | URANUS STAR | 7.6% | 13.17 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | TIN FOOK | 7.3% | 13.75 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | GHORGAN | 6.2% | 16.21 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | ALL'S WELL | 5.7% | 17.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | KEMPES | 2.3% | 44.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 2.1% | 47.70 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 1.9% | 52.20 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH | 1.8% | 55.90 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 1.1% | 94.64 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHOUT RHYME | 0.8% | 121.18 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 50.5
PLACE
2 25
3 18
7 52
QUINELLA
3,7 468
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 61
2,7 208.5
3,7 146.5
FORECAST
3,7 761
TIERCE
3,7,2 5,099
TRIO
2,3,7 1,150
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 8,586
QUARTET
3,7,2,9 124,694
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
10/3 618
10/7 171
2ND TREBLE
5/10/3 13,387
5/10/7 3,711
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/2,3,7 22,184
SIX UP
10/1/14/5/10/3 1,987,653
10,11/1,4/7,14/5,13/8,10/3,7 97,855
5 [K W Lui] —
4 [Z Purton] —