Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 10:20
SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP
Race 11
Race 11 ("SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. BRILLIANT EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won, with ALL'S WELL second and AEROVOLANIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.0 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly 1:23.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | ALL'S WELL Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | KEMPES Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 12 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DREAMING TOGETHER Closed strongly CP- C L Chau · B Crawford | C L Chau | B Crawford | 10 | 124.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | URANUS STAR XB H Y Yuen · K W Lui | H Y Yuen | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | EVERYONE'S STAR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY BOSS CP/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 3 | 6.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH Closed strongly XB-/TT1 H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 62.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | TIN FOOK Led early B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.3 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GHORGAN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 8.5 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | NATURAL NUMBERS B E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 6 | 20.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHOUT RHYME CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 141.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | TANG HEART B-/XB- · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | WINNING GOLD TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC | 18.9% | 5.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY BOSS | 13.6% | 7.34 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | URANUS STAR | 7.6% | 13.17 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | TIN FOOK | 7.3% | 13.75 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | GHORGAN | 6.2% | 16.21 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | ALL'S WELL | 5.7% | 17.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | KEMPES | 2.3% | 44.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 2.1% | 47.70 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 1.9% | 52.20 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH | 1.8% | 55.90 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 1.1% | 94.64 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHOUT RHYME | 0.8% | 121.18 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 50.5
PLACE
2 25
3 18
7 52
QUINELLA
3,7 468
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 61
2,7 208.5
3,7 146.5
FORECAST
3,7 761
TIERCE
3,7,2 5,099
TRIO
2,3,7 1,150
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 8,586
QUARTET
3,7,2,9 124,694
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/3 618
10/7 171
2ND TREBLE
5/10/3 13,387
5/10/7 3,711
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/2,3,7 22,184
SIX UP
10/1/14/5/10/3 1,987,653
10,11/1,4/7,14/5,13/8,10/3,7 97,855
5 [K W Lui] —
4 [Z Purton] —