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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 09:10

LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 4 YIELDING 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 9 ("LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. MEANINGFUL DRAGON, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K W Lui, won, with QUICK CONTRIBUTION second and PROUD BOX third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ACE finished 7th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:24.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 MEANINGFUL DRAGON Wire to wire B 1:24.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K W Lui 14 16.0
2 13 QUICK CONTRIBUTION Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 9 23.0 HD
3 7 PROUD BOX CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So 2 3.3 1/2
4 4 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B E Brown · D J Whyte 10 22.0 1
5 14 SILVER UP Closed strongly V- M L Yeung · B Crawford 4 18.0 1-3/4
6 8 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly TT J Orman · P F Yiu 13 19.0 1-3/4
7 11 ACE TT C L Chau · M Newnham 6 2.8 2-1/4
8 10 VOYAGE BOSS B A Atzeni · F C Lor 12 9.4 3-3/4
9 12 STAR FIGURE Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · J Richards 1 6.9 4
10 9 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR Closed strongly H H T Mo · C W Chang 3 208.0 4-1/4
11 1 GRATIFIDE XB/TT1 R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 38.0 8-3/4
12 3 JOLTIN CP-/TT1 K C Leung · D A Hayes 7 126.0 9
13 6 HIGH RISE VICTORY TT C Y Ho · C H Yip 8 177.0 15-3/4
14 2 BUCEPHALAS SR-/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 11 55.0 34-1/4
0 SUPERB KID · Y S Tsui
0 FLASH STAR TT · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEANINGFUL DRAGON2. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+0.2L3. PROUD BOX+0.5L4. STRATHPEFFER+1L5. SILVER UP+1.75L6. PRESTIGE RICKY+1.75L7. ACE+2.25L8. VOYAGE BOSS+3.75L9. STAR FIGURE+4L10. PRESTIGE SUPERIOR+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PROUD BOX (34.3%) finished 3rd — the winner MEANINGFUL DRAGON was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 PROUD BOX 34.3% 2.91 3
2 11 ACE 14.4% 6.94 7
3 10 VOYAGE BOSS 8.7% 11.47 8
4 12 STAR FIGURE 8.4% 11.92 9
5 8 PRESTIGE RICKY 6.9% 14.53 6
6 5 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 6.0% 16.78 1
7 13 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 4.6% 21.68 2
8 4 STRATHPEFFER 4.2% 23.55 4
9 14 SILVER UP 4.2% 23.65 5
10 2 BUCEPHALAS 3.5% 28.55 14
11 1 GRATIFIDE 1.4% 73.30 11
12 9 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.3% 76.42 10
13 6 HIGH RISE VICTORY 1.1% 92.99 13
14 3 JOLTIN 1.0% 101.60 12
PROUD BOXACEVOYAGE BOSSSTAR FIGUREPRESTIGE RICKYMEANINGFUL DRAGON — wonQUICK CONTRIBUTIONSTRATHPEFFERSILVER UPBUCEPHALASGRATIFIDEPRESTIGE SUPERIORHIGH RISE VICTORYJOLTIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 161

PLACE

5 50.5

7 15.5

13 47

QUINELLA

5,13 2,878

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 144.5

5,13 728

7,13 140.5

FORECAST

5,13 3,941

TIERCE

5,13,7 17,685

TRIO

5,7,13 2,066

FIRST 4

4,5,7,13 5,882

QUARTET

5,13,7,4 211,541

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,14/5,7,13 313,610

8TH DOUBLE

14/5 1,826

14/13 634