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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 05:15

CHEUNG SHAN HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 2 ("CHEUNG SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. LAHORE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won, with BUSTLING CITY second and COUNTRY PRIDE third. The 4.3 favourite BUSTLING CITY finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 0:56.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 LAHORE V/TT 0:56.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards 9 8.5
2 10 BUSTLING CITY B Avdulla · D A Hayes 13 4.3 2-1/2
3 4 COUNTRY PRIDE H Bowman · J Size 14 7.4 3-3/4
4 2 MABUBU TT J Orman · W Y So 4 14.0 4-1/2
5 7 HERO RISING K Teetan · B Crawford 7 17.0 6-1/2
6 12 ZOUPER FELLOW CP/TT A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 11.0 7-3/4
7 9 RUBY THRIVE H1/TT1 C L Chau · K L Man 2 90.0 8-1/4
8 5 DAY DAY VICTORY P N Wong · C W Chang 8 39.0 8-1/2
9 11 PRECISION MIND XB1/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 11 61.0 8-1/2
10 1 RUN RUN SUNRISE H/TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor 6 6.3 8-3/4
11 13 COMET RADIANCE CP/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 3 46.0 10
12 3 CLOUD NINE B L Ferraris · M Newnham 10 7.5 10-3/4
13 8 KINGDOM H1/TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes 1 7.2 11-1/2
14 6 FLOWING E1/TT1 Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 87.0 23-1/4
0 HAPPY UNITED P/TT · J Richards
0 STORM MIRROR B · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LAHORE2. BUSTLING CITY+2.5L3. COUNTRY PRIDE+3.75L4. MABUBU+4.5L5. HERO RISING+6.5L6. ZOUPER FELLOW+7.75L7. RUBY THRIVE+8.25L8. DAY DAY VICTORY+8.5L9. PRECISION MIND+8.5L10. RUN RUN SUNRISE+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RUN RUN SUNRISE (18.2%) finished 10th — the winner LAHORE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 RUN RUN SUNRISE 18.2% 5.51 10
2 8 KINGDOM 15.2% 6.56 13
3 4 COUNTRY PRIDE 12.7% 7.90 3
4 14 LAHORE 11.0% 9.05 1
5 12 ZOUPER FELLOW 8.6% 11.61 6
6 3 CLOUD NINE 7.8% 12.90 12
7 10 BUSTLING CITY 7.6% 13.14 2
8 7 HERO RISING 4.3% 23.36 5
9 2 MABUBU 3.8% 26.23 4
10 13 COMET RADIANCE 2.8% 35.51 11
11 5 DAY DAY VICTORY 2.7% 36.37 8
12 6 FLOWING 2.4% 40.93 14
13 11 PRECISION MIND 1.4% 70.24 9
14 9 RUBY THRIVE 1.4% 71.36 7
RUN RUN SUNRISEKINGDOMCOUNTRY PRIDELAHORE — wonZOUPER FELLOWCLOUD NINEBUSTLING CITYHERO RISINGMABUBUCOMET RADIANCEDAY DAY VICTORYFLOWINGPRECISION MINDRUBY THRIVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 85.5

PLACE

4 29

10 16.5

14 27

QUINELLA

10,14 197

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 73.5

4,14 129.5

10,14 78.5

FORECAST

14,10 514

TIERCE

14,10,4 3,589

TRIO

4,10,14 619

FIRST 4

2,4,10,14 2,696

QUARTET

14,10,4,2 56,784

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/10 88

6/14 735