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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 07:10

LUK WU HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 ("LUK WU HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPERB SPIRIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with LUCRATIVE EIGHT second and ISLAND BUDDY third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:10.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SUPERB SPIRIT XB 1:10.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 4 2.5
2 3 LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 6 4.8 3/4
3 2 ISLAND BUDDY CP1 L Ferraris · B Crawford 12 29.0 1
4 6 DANCING BLAZE TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes 7 4.8 5-1/4
5 5 INCREDIBLE MOMENT R Kingscote · M Newnham 8 7.0 5-1/2
6 12 HONORARY CP-/H-/B1/TT A Badel · W K Mo 9 40.0 5-1/2
7 4 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 3 23.0 6-3/4
8 10 PHOENIX LIGHT A Atzeni · C H Yip 11 25.0 7-1/4
9 11 SYNERGY EXPRESS M F Poon · J Size 5 128.0 8
10 9 TURBO JEFFERIES H Bentley · D A Hayes 10 102.0 8-3/4
11 1 ANODE B/TT E Brown · C S Shum 1 10.0 9-1/2
12 8 CASA BUDDY TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 2 190.0 22-1/2
0 SUPER RUBICK KID B · Y S Tsui
0 LUCKY GIBS · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB SPIRIT2. LUCRATIVE EIGHT+0.75L3. ISLAND BUDDY+1L4. DANCING BLAZE+5.25L5. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+5.5L6. HONORARY+5.5L7. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+6.75L8. PHOENIX LIGHT+7.25L9. SYNERGY EXPRESS+8L10. TURBO JEFFERIES+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPERB SPIRIT (24.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SUPERB SPIRIT 24.9% 4.01 1
2 3 LUCRATIVE EIGHT 24.4% 4.10 2
3 6 DANCING BLAZE 15.6% 6.43 4
4 5 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 11.5% 8.73 5
5 1 ANODE 5.3% 18.84 11
6 2 ISLAND BUDDY 4.1% 24.51 3
7 10 PHOENIX LIGHT 3.7% 26.83 8
8 12 HONORARY 3.5% 28.81 6
9 4 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 2.6% 38.89 7
10 9 TURBO JEFFERIES 2.3% 42.64 10
11 11 SYNERGY EXPRESS 1.2% 80.06 9
12 8 CASA BUDDY 0.9% 110.00 12
SUPERB SPIRIT — wonLUCRATIVE EIGHTDANCING BLAZEINCREDIBLE MOMENTANODEISLAND BUDDYPHOENIX LIGHTHONORARYGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYTURBO JEFFERIESSYNERGY EXPRESSCASA BUDDY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 25

PLACE

2 71

3 15

7 12.5

QUINELLA

3,7 57

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 162

2,7 114.5

3,7 25

FORECAST

7,3 100

TIERCE

7,3,2 1,580

TRIO

2,3,7 456

FIRST 4

2,3,6,7 388

QUARTET

7,3,2,6 8,382

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

3/11/3 1,112

3/11/7 4,903

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

8,10,11/2,3,7 24,607

4TH DOUBLE

11/3 68

11/7 359