Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 08:10
LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. RUN RUN SMART, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by F C Lor, won, with SOLID CAR second and MASTER LUCKY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite FORZA TORO finished 5th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUN RUN SMART Wire to wire TT 1:23.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 9 | 3.5 | — |
| 2 | 4 | SOLID CAR Closed strongly B J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MASTER LUCKY A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 8.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NINJA DERBY K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | FORZA TORO Closed strongly XB1/TT- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.3 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | SEA DIAMOND Closed strongly B-/XB1/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 13 | 155.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MULTISUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO SR/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 83.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER MASTERMIND Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 12 | 167.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | NEXT FORTUNE H/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | DUKE OF ORANGE TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | MERLION XB/CP1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 14 | 130.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | AQUAMAN CP-/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 1 | 21.0 | 18 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPERB BOY TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 13.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TOP TIME · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NYX GLUCK CP · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FORZA TORO | 33.1% | 3.02 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | RUN RUN SMART | 10.3% | 9.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | MASTER LUCKY | 9.8% | 10.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | NINJA DERBY | 8.5% | 11.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SOLID CAR | 7.3% | 13.70 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO | 5.8% | 17.28 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | DUKE OF ORANGE | 5.1% | 19.52 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | MULTISUPERSTAR | 3.7% | 26.98 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPERB BOY | 3.7% | 27.11 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | NEXT FORTUNE | 3.1% | 31.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | MERLION | 2.7% | 37.62 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPER MASTERMIND | 2.6% | 38.71 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | AQUAMAN | 2.4% | 41.88 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | SEA DIAMOND | 1.9% | 51.57 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 35.5
PLACE
1 17.5
3 23.5
4 17.5
QUINELLA
1,4 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 60
1,4 42.5
3,4 62.5
FORECAST
1,4 195
TIERCE
1,4,3 1,030
TRIO
1,3,4 257
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 613
QUARTET
1,4,3,12 8,242
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,11/1,3,4 38,242
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 178
10/4 62.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,7/2,10,11/1,3,4 2,289,680
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,7/2,10,11/Any Combination 7,322