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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 07:40

THE HONG KONG LIONS CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 6

Class 3 YIELDING 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 ("THE HONG KONG LIONS CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. THUNDER KIT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with CHICKEN DINNER second and CELESTIAL HERO third. The 3.1 favourite MEGASTAR HEART finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:10.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 THUNDER KIT H 1:10.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 5.3
2 11 CHICKEN DINNER TT M L Yeung · J Richards 9 60.0 1/2
3 2 CELESTIAL HERO CP H Bowman · D J Whyte 3 5.1 3/4
4 8 MASTER CHAMPION SR1 L Ferraris · P C Ng 1 11.0 8
5 3 LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size 2 11.0 8-1/2
6 9 GLORIOUS DYNASTY B- L Hewitson · B Crawford 5 91.0 8-1/2
7 7 PEGAS XB1/TT H Y Yuen · Y S Tsui 10 5.5 9-1/4
8 4 MEGASTAR HEART J Moreira · C Fownes 11 3.1 9-1/2
9 1 SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 14.0 12
10 12 IRON SECURITY CP/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 6 137.0 15-3/4
11 6 KING EQUINE B-/TT1 E Brown · C S Shum 4 30.0 16-1/2
12 5 BIENVENUE B H Bentley · D A Hayes 12 52.0 16-3/4
0 HIGH PRAISE TT · W K Mo
0 MOUNT EVEREST · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THUNDER KIT2. CHICKEN DINNER+0.5L3. CELESTIAL HERO+0.75L4. MASTER CHAMPION+8L5. LIFELINE EXPRESS+8.5L6. GLORIOUS DYNASTY+8.5L7. PEGAS+9.25L8. MEGASTAR HEART+9.5L9. SAVVY BRILLIANT+12L10. IRON SECURITY+15.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick THUNDER KIT (24.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 THUNDER KIT 24.4% 4.09 1
2 2 CELESTIAL HERO 16.5% 6.05 3
3 3 LIFELINE EXPRESS 13.1% 7.63 5
4 4 MEGASTAR HEART 12.3% 8.11 8
5 1 SAVVY BRILLIANT 10.3% 9.70 9
6 7 PEGAS 7.8% 12.88 7
7 5 BIENVENUE 4.9% 20.25 12
8 8 MASTER CHAMPION 2.9% 33.93 4
9 6 KING EQUINE 2.8% 35.77 11
10 9 GLORIOUS DYNASTY 2.0% 51.15 6
11 11 CHICKEN DINNER 1.9% 52.81 2
12 12 IRON SECURITY 1.0% 99.79 10
THUNDER KIT — wonCELESTIAL HEROLIFELINE EXPRESSMEGASTAR HEARTSAVVY BRILLIANTPEGASBIENVENUEMASTER CHAMPIONKING EQUINEGLORIOUS DYNASTYCHICKEN DINNERIRON SECURITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 53.5

PLACE

2 19.5

10 19.5

11 118

QUINELLA

10,11 896

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 46

2,11 300.5

10,11 247

FORECAST

10,11 1,340

TIERCE

10,11,2 7,736

TRIO

2,10,11 1,271

FIRST 4

2,8,10,11 2,789

QUARTET

10,11,2,8 57,711

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

7/10 89.5

7/11 278.5