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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 09:45

SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 3 YIELDING 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 10 ("SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. PERFECTDAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with CHILL EASY second and THE UNIQUE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CHILL EASY finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:23.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 PERFECTDAY Closed strongly B/TT 1:23.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 9 9.7
2 8 CHILL EASY Closed strongly CP C L Chau · P F Yiu 5 2.3 1-1/2
3 6 THE UNIQUE STAR Led early K Teetan · B Crawford 10 5.8 2
4 1 MAKE YOU SMILE Closed strongly B1 L Ferraris · D Eustace 12 79.0 3-1/2
5 12 JUMBO STEPS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 131.0 3-3/4
6 14 LADY'S LOVE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang 1 82.0 6
7 2 WINDLORD H/TT E Brown · W K Mo 2 7.7 6
8 13 EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP1/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 7 36.0 7-1/2
9 5 ENDEARED P-/XB A Atzeni · J Size 8 9.3 8-1/4
10 4 CITY GOLD BANNER TT B Avdulla · J Richards 3 23.0 11-1/4
11 3 MR ENERGIA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 6 28.0 11-1/4
12 7 KANSAS CP H Bentley · D A Hayes 13 213.0 12-1/4
13 9 DARYL FLASH B- M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 4 26.0 14-1/4
14 11 PATONGA HEART TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes 14 11.0 24-3/4
0 RIDING TOGETHER V-/TT · D Eustace
0 THE RED HARE H/P/TT · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECTDAY2. CHILL EASY+1.5L3. THE UNIQUE STAR+2L4. MAKE YOU SMILE+3.5L5. JUMBO STEPS+3.75L6. LADY'S LOVE+6L7. WINDLORD+6L8. EXCEED THE LIMIT+7.5L9. ENDEARED+8.25L10. CITY GOLD BANNER+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ENDEARED (25.4%) finished 9th — the winner PERFECTDAY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 ENDEARED 25.4% 3.94 9
2 8 CHILL EASY 23.2% 4.31 2
3 11 PATONGA HEART 11.4% 8.79 14
4 10 PERFECTDAY 8.3% 12.09 1
5 6 THE UNIQUE STAR 5.2% 19.26 3
6 13 EXCEED THE LIMIT 5.0% 19.89 8
7 3 MR ENERGIA 4.2% 24.01 11
8 9 DARYL FLASH 4.0% 25.11 13
9 2 WINDLORD 3.6% 28.13 7
10 1 MAKE YOU SMILE 3.5% 28.73 4
11 4 CITY GOLD BANNER 2.5% 40.09 10
12 12 JUMBO STEPS 1.5% 66.89 5
13 14 LADY'S LOVE 1.2% 80.25 6
14 7 KANSAS 1.2% 86.48 12
ENDEAREDCHILL EASYPATONGA HEARTPERFECTDAY — wonTHE UNIQUE STAREXCEED THE LIMITMR ENERGIADARYL FLASHWINDLORDMAKE YOU SMILECITY GOLD BANNERJUMBO STEPSLADY'S LOVEKANSAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 97.5

PLACE

6 20.5

8 12.5

10 25

QUINELLA

8,10 97.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 33.5

6,10 87

8,10 42.5

FORECAST

10,8 311

TIERCE

10,8,6 1,663

TRIO

6,8,10 191

FIRST 4

1,6,8,10 2,268

QUARTET

10,8,6,1 38,805

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

5/8 135

5/10 1,761