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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 17:45

SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 3 YIELDING 1400m Course C+3 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:23.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 PERFECTDAY Closed strongly B/TT 1:23.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 9 9.7 —
2 8 CHILL EASY Closed strongly CP C L Chau · P F Yiu 5 2.3 1-1/2
3 6 THE UNIQUE STAR Led early K Teetan · B Crawford 10 5.8 2
4 1 MAKE YOU SMILE Closed strongly B1 L Ferraris · D Eustace 12 79.0 3-1/2
5 12 JUMBO STEPS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 131.0 3-3/4
6 14 LADY'S LOVE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang 1 82.0 6
7 2 WINDLORD H/TT E Brown · W K Mo 2 7.7 6
8 13 EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP1/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 7 36.0 7-1/2
9 5 ENDEARED P-/XB A Atzeni · J Size 8 9.3 8-1/4
10 4 CITY GOLD BANNER TT B Avdulla · J Richards 3 23.0 11-1/4
11 3 MR ENERGIA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 6 28.0 11-1/4
12 7 KANSAS CP H Bentley · D A Hayes 13 213.0 12-1/4
13 9 DARYL FLASH B- M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 4 26.0 14-1/4
14 11 PATONGA HEART TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes 14 11.0 24-3/4
— 0 RIDING TOGETHER V-/TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 THE RED HARE H/P/TT · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 ("SIU MA SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on YIELDING going. PERFECTDAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with CHILL EASY second and THE UNIQUE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CHILL EASY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECTDAY—2. CHILL EASY+1.5L3. THE UNIQUE STAR+2L4. MAKE YOU SMILE+3.5L5. JUMBO STEPS+3.75L6. LADY'S LOVE+6L7. WINDLORD+6L8. EXCEED THE LIMIT+7.5L9. ENDEARED+8.25L10. CITY GOLD BANNER+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ENDEARED (25.4%) finished 9th — the winner PERFECTDAY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 ENDEARED 25.4% 3.94 9
2 8 CHILL EASY 23.2% 4.31 2
3 11 PATONGA HEART 11.4% 8.79 14
4 10 PERFECTDAY 8.3% 12.09 1
5 6 THE UNIQUE STAR 5.2% 19.26 3
6 13 EXCEED THE LIMIT 5.0% 19.89 8
7 3 MR ENERGIA 4.2% 24.01 11
8 9 DARYL FLASH 4.0% 25.11 13
9 2 WINDLORD 3.6% 28.13 7
10 1 MAKE YOU SMILE 3.5% 28.73 4
11 4 CITY GOLD BANNER 2.5% 40.09 10
12 12 JUMBO STEPS 1.5% 66.89 5
13 14 LADY'S LOVE 1.2% 80.25 6
14 7 KANSAS 1.2% 86.48 12
ENDEAREDCHILL EASYPATONGA HEARTPERFECTDAY — wonTHE UNIQUE STAREXCEED THE LIMITMR ENERGIADARYL FLASHWINDLORDMAKE YOU SMILECITY GOLD BANNERJUMBO STEPSLADY'S LOVEKANSAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 97.5

PLACE

6 20.5

8 12.5

10 25

QUINELLA

8,10 97.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 33.5

6,10 87

8,10 42.5

FORECAST

10,8 311

TIERCE

10,8,6 1,663

TRIO

6,8,10 191

FIRST 4

1,6,8,10 2,268

QUARTET

10,8,6,1 38,805

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

5/8 135

5/10 1,761