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Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 12:45

BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO YIELDING 1800m Course C+3 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:50.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ON THE LASH Closed strongly B/TT 1:50.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P C Ng 3 8.9 —
2 10 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 6 3.1 1
3 7 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip 9 50.0 2-1/4
4 5 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 14 12.0 3-3/4
5 11 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 34.0 5-1/4
6 8 ALL ARE MINE H/XB Z Purton · B Crawford 4 3.3 5-1/2
7 3 MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 16.0 6
8 9 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size 5 13.0 6-3/4
9 14 CHATEAU LE PECHE B M Chadwick · K H Ting 7 36.0 7
10 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 11 20.0 7-1/2
11 2 KOLACHI XB-/E/SR/TT2 H Bentley · D J Whyte 13 75.0 8
12 4 SPECIAL HEDGE B-/CP1/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 2 12.0 12-1/4
13 13 GOLD TACK V1 P N Wong · D J Hall 12 39.0 12-1/2
14 12 RUN YES RUN Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 10 31.0 15-1/4
— 0 HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT · W K Mo — — —
— 0 PERFECTO MOMENTS CP · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ON THE LASH, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P C Ng, won, with ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT second and SUPER HONG KONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ON THE LASH—2. ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT+1L3. SUPER HONG KONG+2.25L4. FAMILY FORTUNE+3.75L5. SMART BEAUTY+5.25L6. ALL ARE MINE+5.5L7. MATSU VICTOR+6L8. PERFECT PAIRING+6.75L9. CHATEAU LE PECHE+7L10. HAILTOTHEVICTORS+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ALL ARE MINE (20.8%) finished 6th — the winner ON THE LASH was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 ALL ARE MINE 20.8% 4.81 6
2 9 PERFECT PAIRING 13.5% 7.38 8
3 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 9.3% 10.76 10
4 5 FAMILY FORTUNE 8.8% 11.34 4
5 3 MATSU VICTOR 7.8% 12.75 7
6 6 ON THE LASH 7.6% 13.15 1
7 10 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT 6.9% 14.39 2
8 4 SPECIAL HEDGE 4.8% 20.64 12
9 13 GOLD TACK 4.5% 22.35 13
10 12 RUN YES RUN 3.9% 25.87 14
11 14 CHATEAU LE PECHE 3.3% 29.92 9
12 11 SMART BEAUTY 3.3% 30.29 5
13 2 KOLACHI 3.1% 32.01 11
14 7 SUPER HONG KONG 2.2% 45.36 3
ALL ARE MINEPERFECT PAIRINGHAILTOTHEVICTORSFAMILY FORTUNEMATSU VICTORON THE LASH — wonROSEWOOD FLEETFOOTSPECIAL HEDGEGOLD TACKRUN YES RUNCHATEAU LE PECHESMART BEAUTYKOLACHISUPER HONG KONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 89.5

PLACE

6 26

7 137.5

10 13

QUINELLA

6,10 136.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 541.5

6,10 56

7,10 435

FORECAST

6,10 416

TIERCE

6,10,7 15,074

TRIO

6,7,10 3,994

FIRST 4

5,6,7,10 10,070

QUARTET

6,10,7,5 144,001