Sha Tin · 2026-05-17 · 04:45
BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-17 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ON THE LASH, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P C Ng, won, with ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT second and SUPER HONG KONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ON THE LASH Closed strongly B/TT 1:50.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P C Ng | H Y Yuen | P C Ng | 3 | 8.9 | — |
| 2 | 10 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 9 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL ARE MINE H/XB Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 4 | 3.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 11 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | KOLACHI XB-/E/SR/TT2 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 75.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | SPECIAL HEDGE B-/CP1/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | GOLD TACK V1 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 39.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | RUN YES RUN Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 31.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALL ARE MINE | 20.8% | 4.81 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | PERFECT PAIRING | 13.5% | 7.38 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 9.3% | 10.76 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 8.8% | 11.34 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR | 7.8% | 12.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | ON THE LASH | 7.6% | 13.15 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 6.9% | 14.39 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 4.8% | 20.64 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | GOLD TACK | 4.5% | 22.35 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | RUN YES RUN | 3.9% | 25.87 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 3.3% | 29.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY | 3.3% | 30.29 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | KOLACHI | 3.1% | 32.01 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.2% | 45.36 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 89.5
PLACE
6 26
7 137.5
10 13
QUINELLA
6,10 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 541.5
6,10 56
7,10 435
FORECAST
6,10 416
TIERCE
6,10,7 15,074
TRIO
6,7,10 3,994
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 10,070
QUARTET
6,10,7,5 144,001