沙田 · 2026-05-17 · 07:40
THE HONG KONG LIONS CUP (HANDICAP)
第 6場
2026-05-17沙田第6場「THE HONG KONG LIONS CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的THUNDER KIT勝出。CHICKEN DINNER獲得亞軍；CELESTIAL HERO獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門MEGASTAR HEART跑獲第8名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | THUNDER KIT H 1:10.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 11 | CHICKEN DINNER TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 9 | 60.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | CELESTIAL HERO CP H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | MASTER CHAMPION SR1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | GLORIOUS DYNASTY B- L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 5 | 91.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | PEGAS XB1/TT H Y Yuen · Y S Tsui | H Y Yuen | Y S Tsui | 10 | 5.5 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MEGASTAR HEART J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 3.1 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | IRON SECURITY CP/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 137.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KING EQUINE B-/TT1 E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | BIENVENUE B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 52.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HIGH PRAISE TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MOUNT EVEREST · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | THUNDER KIT | 24.4% | 4.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CELESTIAL HERO | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 13.1% | 7.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | MEGASTAR HEART | 12.3% | 8.11 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 10.3% | 9.70 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | PEGAS | 7.8% | 12.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | BIENVENUE | 4.9% | 20.25 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | MASTER CHAMPION | 2.9% | 33.93 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | KING EQUINE | 2.8% | 35.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | GLORIOUS DYNASTY | 2.0% | 51.15 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | CHICKEN DINNER | 1.9% | 52.81 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | IRON SECURITY | 1.0% | 99.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 53.5
PLACE
2 19.5
10 19.5
11 118
QUINELLA
10,11 896
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 46
2,11 300.5
10,11 247
FORECAST
10,11 1,340
TIERCE
10,11,2 7,736
TRIO
2,10,11 1,271
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 2,789
QUARTET
10,11,2,8 57,711
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/10 89.5
7/11 278.5