跑馬地 · 2026-07-08 · 10:30
KICK OFF HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-07-08跑馬地第1場「KICK OFF HANDICAP」,Class 5,途程1000米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的HAPPY UNITED勝出。COUNTRY DANCER獲得亞軍;SOLAR RIVER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動(1)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED TT 0:56.67 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 6 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND B/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY ACTION B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE V/XB/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 123.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN GALAXY V/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FASHION LEGEND V/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| WV | 4 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED | 24.7% | 4.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 18.6% | 5.38 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE | 10.0% | 9.96 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 8.6% | 11.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 6.4% | 15.65 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER | 5.3% | 18.77 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS | 5.0% | 19.98 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY ACTION | 4.0% | 24.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.4% | 73.95 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
1 30.5
3 13
5 56.5
QUINELLA
1,3 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65
1,5 269.5
3,5 112.5
FORECAST
3,1 308
TIERCE
3,1,5 4,300
TRIO
1,3,5 1,129
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 2,925
QUARTET
3,1,5,6 43,825