跑馬地 · 2026-07-08 · 14:50
PENALTY SHOOTOUT HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-07-08跑馬地第9場「PENALTY SHOOTOUT HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WINGS OF WAR勝出。TARGET AUDIENCE獲得亞軍；DO YOU JUST獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門AURIO跑獲第7名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINGS OF WAR B 1:09.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.1 | — |
| 2 | 4 | TARGET AUDIENCE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 4.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | DO YOU JUST CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 32.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | POWER KOEPP B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 10 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CENTRAL BANK XB- L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 12 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | AURIO SR/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | KING PROFIT TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | JUBILANT WINNER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MASTER CHAMPION CP-/TT- C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 88.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 28.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | HONEST WITNESS B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CLASS V/TT · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | THUNDER KIT H · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | KING PROFIT | 15.7% | 6.39 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | AURIO | 11.9% | 8.38 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING | 8.6% | 11.57 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 6.4% | 15.55 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | WINGS OF WAR | 6.4% | 15.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | HONEST WITNESS | 5.1% | 19.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | POWER KOEPP | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | JUBILANT WINNER | 4.7% | 21.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | MASTER CHAMPION | 2.9% | 34.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | CENTRAL BANK | 2.9% | 34.76 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | DO YOU JUST | 2.6% | 38.21 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 51.5
PLACE
3 76
4 18
11 21.5
QUINELLA
4,11 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 226
3,11 259
4,11 56.5
FORECAST
11,4 373
TIERCE
11,4,3 10,783
TRIO
3,4,11 1,629
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 5,578
QUARTET
11,4,3,6 76,658
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/9/4 1,539
8/9/11 15,381
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/3,4,11 253,522
8TH DOUBLE
9/4 49.5
9/11 606.5
SIX UP
1,7/2,9/3,4/1,8/9,11/4,11 4,634
1/9/4/8/9/11 314,391
2 [C Fownes] —
2 [J Moreira] —