跑馬地 · 2026-07-08 · 13:45
BREAKAWAY HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-07-08跑馬地第7場「BREAKAWAY HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的DANCING CLASSICS勝出。CANDLELIGHT DINNER獲得亞軍；BUNTA BABY獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門ROBOT LUCKY STAR跑獲第7名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DANCING CLASSICS B1/TT 0:56.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 20.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 7 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BUNTA BABY V/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 9 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 3 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | BLUE ILLUSION B/TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 6 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 4.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | DUKE ATREIDES TT- L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 8 | 73.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | COPPER CORE XB/E1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 157.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR | 13.8% | 7.23 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 12.8% | 7.81 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | BUNTA BABY | 11.6% | 8.61 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE | 9.5% | 10.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | DANCING CLASSICS | 8.5% | 11.72 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 5.8% | 17.21 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR | 3.8% | 26.14 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 3.0% | 33.31 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | BLUE ILLUSION | 2.8% | 35.32 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | DUKE ATREIDES | 2.4% | 42.09 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | COPPER CORE | 1.4% | 73.66 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 202
PLACE
1 21
3 20
8 55
QUINELLA
1,8 729.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 58.5
1,8 208
3,8 167
FORECAST
8,1 1,169
TIERCE
8,1,3 5,821
TRIO
1,3,8 901
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 2,221
QUARTET
8,1,3,9 63,379
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/1,3,8 30,385
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 23.5
4/8 331.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,12/2,3,4/Any Combination 6,881