Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 10:30
KICK OFF HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("KICK OFF HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY UNITED, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won, with COUNTRY DANCER second and SOLAR RIVER third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED TT 0:56.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 6 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND B/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY ACTION B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE V/XB/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 123.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN GALAXY V/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FASHION LEGEND V/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| WV | 4 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED | 24.7% | 4.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 18.6% | 5.38 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | SPICY SPANGLE | 10.0% | 9.96 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 8.6% | 11.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 6.4% | 15.65 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER | 5.3% | 18.77 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS | 5.0% | 19.98 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY ACTION | 4.0% | 24.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.4% | 73.95 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
1 30.5
3 13
5 56.5
QUINELLA
1,3 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65
1,5 269.5
3,5 112.5
FORECAST
3,1 308
TIERCE
3,1,5 4,300
TRIO
1,3,5 1,129
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 2,925
QUARTET
3,1,5,6 43,825