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Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 14:15

HAT TRICK HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners

Race 8 ("HAT TRICK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LE ZONDA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won, with POPE CODY second and GLITTERING LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite LIVEANDLETLIVE finished 9th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.73 #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Code 96 #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Jockey Change #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:48.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT 1:48.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng 10 8.4
2 11 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 3 4.5 1
3 10 GLITTERING LEGEND Closed strongly V-/B2 Y L Chung · D Eustace 11 22.0 3
4 7 POCKETING Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 7 48.0 4-1/2
5 5 JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 13.0 6-3/4
6 4 AERODYNAMICS CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 1 19.0 7-1/2
7 6 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 6 7.2 8-1/2
8 8 SWORD POINT B-/CP2 K C Leung · F C Lor 9 66.0 8-1/2
9 3 LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 5 3.5 9-3/4
10 12 FORTUNATE SON TT K Teetan · W K Mo 2 8.8 10
11 1 AWESOME FLUKE P/TT P N Wong · P F Yiu 4 48.0 10-3/4
12 2 BEAUTY ALLIANCE Z Purton · J Size 12 9.1 18-1/4
0 SKY VINO TT · C Fownes
WV 6 WITHOUT COMPARE TT C L Chau · C S Shum 6

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LE ZONDA2. POPE CODY+1L3. GLITTERING LEGEND+3L4. POCKETING+4.5L5. JOY OF SPRING+6.75L6. AERODYNAMICS+7.5L7. ROMANTIC THOR+8.5L8. SWORD POINT+8.5L9. LIVEANDLETLIVE+9.75L10. FORTUNATE SON+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LIVEANDLETLIVE (25.1%) finished 9th — the winner LE ZONDA was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LIVEANDLETLIVE 25.1% 3.99 9
2 12 FORTUNATE SON 17.0% 5.89 10
3 4 AERODYNAMICS 10.1% 9.92 6
4 6 ROMANTIC THOR 9.2% 10.90 7
5 5 JOY OF SPRING 8.1% 12.33 5
6 9 LE ZONDA 7.1% 14.10 1
7 11 POPE CODY 6.6% 15.25 2
8 2 BEAUTY ALLIANCE 6.3% 15.93 12
9 8 SWORD POINT 3.5% 28.80 8
10 10 GLITTERING LEGEND 3.1% 32.58 3
11 1 AWESOME FLUKE 3.1% 32.77 11
12 7 POCKETING 1.1% 92.70 4
LIVEANDLETLIVEFORTUNATE SONAERODYNAMICSROMANTIC THORJOY OF SPRINGLE ZONDA — wonPOPE CODYBEAUTY ALLIANCESWORD POINTGLITTERING LEGENDAWESOME FLUKEPOCKETING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 84

PLACE

9 24

10 54.5

11 18.5

QUINELLA

9,11 183.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 225

9,11 68

10,11 159.5

FORECAST

9,11 459

TIERCE

9,11,10 4,878

TRIO

9,10,11 1,159

FIRST 4

7,9,10,11 7,767

QUARTET

9,11,10,7 88,305

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

8/9 2,332.5

8/11 331