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Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 22:15

HAT TRICK HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.73 #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Code 96 #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Jockey Change #6 ROMANTIC THOR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:48.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT 1:48.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng 10 8.4 —
2 11 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 3 4.5 1
3 10 GLITTERING LEGEND Closed strongly V-/B2 Y L Chung · D Eustace 11 22.0 3
4 7 POCKETING Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 7 48.0 4-1/2
5 5 JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 13.0 6-3/4
6 4 AERODYNAMICS CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 1 19.0 7-1/2
7 6 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 6 7.2 8-1/2
8 8 SWORD POINT B-/CP2 K C Leung · F C Lor 9 66.0 8-1/2
9 3 LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 5 3.5 9-3/4
10 12 FORTUNATE SON TT K Teetan · W K Mo 2 8.8 10
11 1 AWESOME FLUKE P/TT P N Wong · P F Yiu 4 48.0 10-3/4
12 2 BEAUTY ALLIANCE Z Purton · J Size 12 9.1 18-1/4
— 0 SKY VINO TT · C Fownes — — —
WV 6 WITHOUT COMPARE TT C L Chau · C S Shum 6 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 ("HAT TRICK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LE ZONDA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won, with POPE CODY second and GLITTERING LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite LIVEANDLETLIVE finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LE ZONDA—2. POPE CODY+1L3. GLITTERING LEGEND+3L4. POCKETING+4.5L5. JOY OF SPRING+6.75L6. AERODYNAMICS+7.5L7. ROMANTIC THOR+8.5L8. SWORD POINT+8.5L9. LIVEANDLETLIVE+9.75L10. FORTUNATE SON+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LIVEANDLETLIVE (25.1%) finished 9th — the winner LE ZONDA was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LIVEANDLETLIVE 25.1% 3.99 9
2 12 FORTUNATE SON 17.0% 5.89 10
3 4 AERODYNAMICS 10.1% 9.92 6
4 6 ROMANTIC THOR 9.2% 10.90 7
5 5 JOY OF SPRING 8.1% 12.33 5
6 9 LE ZONDA 7.1% 14.10 1
7 11 POPE CODY 6.6% 15.25 2
8 2 BEAUTY ALLIANCE 6.3% 15.93 12
9 8 SWORD POINT 3.5% 28.80 8
10 10 GLITTERING LEGEND 3.1% 32.58 3
11 1 AWESOME FLUKE 3.1% 32.77 11
12 7 POCKETING 1.1% 92.70 4
LIVEANDLETLIVEFORTUNATE SONAERODYNAMICSROMANTIC THORJOY OF SPRINGLE ZONDA — wonPOPE CODYBEAUTY ALLIANCESWORD POINTGLITTERING LEGENDAWESOME FLUKEPOCKETING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 84

PLACE

9 24

10 54.5

11 18.5

QUINELLA

9,11 183.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 225

9,11 68

10,11 159.5

FORECAST

9,11 459

TIERCE

9,11,10 4,878

TRIO

9,10,11 1,159

FIRST 4

7,9,10,11 7,767

QUARTET

9,11,10,7 88,305

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

8/9 2,332.5

8/11 331