Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 11:00

FREE KICK HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Race 2 ("FREE KICK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ANOTHER ZONDA, ridden by P N Wong and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with SHOOTING TO TOP second and HAPPY SMILE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite CHARMING LEGEND finished 9th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.73 #12 VIVA BOSS — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:39.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 ANOTHER ZONDA Wire to wire B 1:39.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · Y S Tsui 7 9.5
2 6 SHOOTING TO TOP Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo 12 4.0 N
3 8 HAPPY SMILE Closed strongly CP A Badel · J Richards 2 9.3 3/4
4 4 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly H Bowman · M Newnham 4 6.0 2
5 7 AKERMANIS GOLD Closed strongly C L Chau · D Eustace 10 46.0 2
6 5 CHEAHA Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 22.0 2
7 12 VIVA BOSS H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 11 42.0 2-1/4
8 10 THE LION KING B A Atzeni · F C Lor 8 10.0 2-1/2
9 2 CHARMING LEGEND J Moreira · C Fownes 1 3.0 5
10 9 SURE JOYFUL TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 3 15.0 7-1/4
11 11 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT M L Yeung · W Y So 5 173.0 16-1/2
12 3 REAL TIME J Orman · D J Hall 9 158.0 18-1/4
0 HAPPY PROMISE TT · D A Hayes
0 FREE PONY P- · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ANOTHER ZONDA2. SHOOTING TO TOP+0.05L3. HAPPY SMILE+0.75L4. CASA ROCHESTER+2L5. AKERMANIS GOLD+2L6. CHEAHA+2L7. VIVA BOSS+2.25L8. THE LION KING+2.5L9. CHARMING LEGEND+5L10. SURE JOYFUL+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CHARMING LEGEND (32.2%) finished 9th — the winner ANOTHER ZONDA was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 CHARMING LEGEND 32.2% 3.11 9
2 6 SHOOTING TO TOP 11.8% 8.47 2
3 8 HAPPY SMILE 10.5% 9.56 3
4 4 CASA ROCHESTER 10.1% 9.94 4
5 9 SURE JOYFUL 8.5% 11.76 10
6 1 ANOTHER ZONDA 7.2% 13.91 1
7 10 THE LION KING 6.7% 14.91 8
8 5 CHEAHA 5.4% 18.62 6
9 7 AKERMANIS GOLD 2.9% 34.58 5
10 12 VIVA BOSS 2.4% 41.31 7
11 11 CELESTIAL STRIDER 1.3% 79.18 11
12 3 REAL TIME 1.1% 87.19 12
CHARMING LEGENDSHOOTING TO TOPHAPPY SMILECASA ROCHESTERSURE JOYFULANOTHER ZONDA — wonTHE LION KINGCHEAHAAKERMANIS GOLDVIVA BOSSCELESTIAL STRIDERREAL TIME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 95

PLACE

1 26

6 17

8 27.5

QUINELLA

1,6 222

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 75.5

1,8 141.5

6,8 75.5

FORECAST

1,6 555

TIERCE

1,6,8 4,479

TRIO

1,6,8 660

FIRST 4

1,4,6,8 687

QUARTET

1,6,8,4 18,816

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3,4/1 207.5

3,4/6 38