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Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 12:10

EIGHT TO GLORY, Presented by Lenovo

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 8 runners

Race 4 ("EIGHT TO GLORY, Presented by Lenovo") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FORZA TORO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with PODIUM second and PRECISION HOPE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite LUCKY YEAR finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:39.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 FORZA TORO Wire to wire XB 1:39.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 1 3.0
2 7 PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace 3 14.0 3
3 6 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly A Badel · D A Hayes 8 5.6 4
4 5 LUCKY YEAR A Atzeni · C H Yip 2 2.8 4-1/4
5 2 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K L Man 5 8.2 8-3/4
6 4 THE AZURE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor 7 13.0 9
7 3 SUPERB KID CP C L Chau · Y S Tsui 6 47.0 12-3/4
8 8 STAR ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 15.0 14
0 GENIUS BABY CP-/XB/V1/TT · B Crawford
0 MIGHTY STEED CP · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FORZA TORO2. PODIUM+3L3. PRECISION HOPE+4L4. LUCKY YEAR+4.25L5. STURDY RUBY+8.75L6. THE AZURE+9L7. SUPERB KID+12.75L8. STAR ELEGANCE+14L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FORZA TORO (31.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FORZA TORO 31.8% 3.15 1
2 5 LUCKY YEAR 22.0% 4.55 4
3 7 PODIUM 12.4% 8.05 2
4 6 PRECISION HOPE 12.0% 8.34 3
5 4 THE AZURE 8.7% 11.45 6
6 2 STURDY RUBY 5.3% 18.71 5
7 3 SUPERB KID 3.9% 25.71 7
8 8 STAR ELEGANCE 3.9% 25.71 8
FORZA TORO — wonLUCKY YEARPODIUMPRECISION HOPETHE AZURESTURDY RUBYSUPERB KIDSTAR ELEGANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 30.5

PLACE

1 13.5

6 17

7 31

QUINELLA

1,7 198

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 33.5

1,7 62.5

6,7 97

FORECAST

1,7 309

TIERCE

1,7,6 1,476

TRIO

1,6,7 312

FIRST 4

1,5,6,7 128

QUARTET

1,7,6,5 4,173

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

11/1 97

11/7 86.5