Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 11:30
VOLLEY HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("VOLLEY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. JUMBO BLESSING, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with BEAUTY SHOW second and HARMONY FIRE third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JUMBO BLESSING TT 0:56.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY SHOW CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GRAND NOVA E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | MAPOGO H/TT- K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | JACKSON HABIT XB/H1 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 65.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | HEY BROS TT2 K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 4 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SMART HIGH H1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 102.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GIANT SPIRIT B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ZOUPER FELLOW CP/TT A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 2 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | BOLTZ H1/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 145.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY TWENTY J Orman · K H Ting | J Orman | K H Ting | 5 | 23.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY SHOW | 31.4% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | JUMBO BLESSING | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | GRAND NOVA | 8.3% | 11.99 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 7.3% | 13.65 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | MAPOGO | 5.0% | 20.04 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY TWENTY | 3.7% | 26.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | GIANT SPIRIT | 2.3% | 42.89 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | HEY BROS | 2.3% | 43.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | BOLTZ | 1.3% | 74.88 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | SMART HIGH | 1.1% | 91.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | JACKSON HABIT | 1.1% | 94.56 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 28.5
PLACE
4 14.5
8 26
11 13.5
QUINELLA
4,11 51
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 62.5
4,11 24.5
8,11 55.5
FORECAST
11,4 112
TIERCE
11,4,8 681
TRIO
4,8,11 163
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 111
QUARTET
11,4,8,1 2,540
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/4,8,11 7,941
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 44.5
1/11 560