Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 12:45
GOAL HANDICAP
Race 5
Race 5 ("GOAL HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE PERFECT MATCH, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won, with LOOKING BRIGHT second and KWAI CHUNG TALENTS third. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT 1:10.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | LOOKING BRIGHT H/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS H- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | MATZDEN TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 10 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | KING OBERON B Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB KING CP/XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SPEEDY POWER H A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 11 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM CP/XB/TT L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 12 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ACE POWER B A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | E PASSION TT1 L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 3 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | QUARTZ LEGEND J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 17 |
| — | 0 | GRATIFIDE B · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | KING OBERON | 13.9% | 7.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPERB KING | 11.2% | 8.92 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY | 9.8% | 10.22 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | ACE POWER | 9.7% | 10.35 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 7.3% | 13.65 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS | 6.0% | 16.63 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | LOOKING BRIGHT | 5.7% | 17.54 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | MATZDEN | 5.1% | 19.42 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM | 4.5% | 22.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | E PASSION | 4.5% | 22.08 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEEDY POWER | 1.9% | 52.77 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
2 42.5
9 17
12 28.5
QUINELLA
2,9 368.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 122.5
2,12 195
9,12 76.5
FORECAST
9,2 697
TIERCE
9,2,12 4,132
TRIO
2,9,12 1,049
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 3,992
QUARTET
9,2,12,1 70,459
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/1/2 238
11/1/9 673
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/2,9,12 30,750
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 84
1/9 124.5