Happy Valley · 2026-07-08 · 13:15
HEADER HANDICAP
Race 6
Race 6 ("HEADER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LEADING AGILITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with FORERUNNER second and YOUNG ARROW third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEADING AGILITY CP/TT 1:09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| 2 | 3 | FORERUNNER CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 2 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | YOUNG ARROW CP L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BRIGHT DAY V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | THUNDER PRINCE J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 9 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | RAINBOW SEVEN B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 11 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID CP-/B2/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 65.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VIGOR EYE CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 8 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | HEROIC VANGUARD TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 65.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | VERMILION TEMPEST TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LOVING VIBES CP2/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEADING AGILITY | 41.2% | 2.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 8.5% | 11.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | VIGOR EYE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 7.3% | 13.68 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.0% | 16.62 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | YOUNG ARROW | 5.7% | 17.68 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BRIGHT DAY | 4.6% | 21.85 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | THUNDER PRINCE | 4.4% | 22.51 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 4.0% | 24.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 3.8% | 26.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 3.8% | 26.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 2.9% | 34.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17
PLACE
2 49.5
3 16.5
4 12
QUINELLA
3,4 48
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 172
2,4 81
3,4 23.5
FORECAST
4,3 65
TIERCE
4,3,2 797
TRIO
2,3,4 294
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 665
QUARTET
4,3,2,1 5,229
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/3 61
9/4 60