Happy Valley · 2019-09-11
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2019-09-11 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. PRAWN YEAH YEAH, ridden by C Schofield and trained by R Gibson, won by 1/2, with EXPONENTS second and RAICHU third. The 2.7 favourite LEISURED FEET finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT 0.57.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | EXPONENTS V B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 9 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | RAICHU TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 1 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | LEISURED FEET SR/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AFTER ME B- A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 8 | 72.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SHOW MISSION B/TT- N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | STARLOT B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | WHISTLE UP V/XB Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | PEACE ON EARTH B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 86.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BLADE RACER G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| — | 2 | TOUCHDOWN STRIKER T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RAICHU | 29.9% | 3.35 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | LEISURED FEET | 13.0% | 7.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | STARLOT | 11.2% | 8.95 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 9.3% | 10.76 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | WHISTLE UP | 9.2% | 10.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | EXPONENTS | 9.1% | 11.02 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | BLADE RACER | 7.6% | 13.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SHOW MISSION | 7.0% | 14.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | AFTER ME | 2.0% | 49.47 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | PEACE ON EARTH | 1.8% | 56.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 155
PLACE
4 40.5
5 18
11 17
QUINELLA
4,5 340.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 130
4,11 132
5,11 46.5
TIERCE
4,5,11 3,081
TRIO
4,5,11 566
FIRST 4
4,5,10,11 366
QUARTET
4,5,11,10 12,443
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 698
4/5 43
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 41.5
A1 —