Happy Valley · 2019-09-25
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER 1.10.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CONFUCIUS DAY B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENEROUS HEART P-/XB M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED SR C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 2 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THOU SHALL SING H-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 5 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART OF YOUTH TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EPTIMUM H-/V1/TT- G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 11 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 8 | 136.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LAMAROSA B-/TT A Sanna · T P Yung | A Sanna | T P Yung | 4 | 50.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON DANCE TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 125.0 | 26-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2019-09-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING'S TROOPER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with GIFT OF LIFELINE second and CONFUCIUS DAY third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER | 20.9% | 4.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART OF YOUTH | 11.2% | 8.94 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 10.6% | 9.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CONFUCIUS DAY | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GENEROUS HEART | 6.0% | 16.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | EPTIMUM | 4.0% | 24.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | THOU SHALL SING | 3.9% | 25.73 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LAMAROSA | 3.4% | 29.78 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY | 2.0% | 49.05 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL | 1.7% | 59.54 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON DANCE | 1.2% | 84.27 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 35.5
PLACE
2 14
3 44
9 15
QUINELLA
2,9 75
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 87.5
2,9 32
3,9 118.5
TIERCE
9,2,3 961
TRIO
2,3,9 264
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 523
QUARTET
9,2,3,5 7,400
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/2,3,9 31,055
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/2 43
8/9 249.5