Happy Valley · 2019-11-20
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FOREVER BRIGHT Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 3 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAME LILY TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA Led early CP K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT A Sanna · D E Ferraris | A Sanna | D E Ferraris | 9 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 147.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DASHING DART B/TT R Bayliss · P O'Sullivan | R Bayliss | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE B U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 8 | 14.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIMAX B2/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 83.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NABOO STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with FOREVER BRIGHT second and CITY LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite CASA DE FORCA finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA | 26.8% | 3.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | FLAME LILY | 20.6% | 4.86 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR | 15.6% | 6.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 5.5% | 18.27 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 5.0% | 20.07 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.8% | 26.60 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 3.4% | 29.18 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | DASHING DART | 2.6% | 38.86 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MULTIMAX | 1.5% | 67.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.1% | 87.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | FOREVER BRIGHT | 0.8% | 130.07 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 63.5
PLACE
4 22
5 21.5
10 115.5
QUINELLA
5,10 1,415
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 69.5
4,10 643
5,10 403
TIERCE
5,10,4 16,789
TRIO
4,5,10 3,849
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 2,866
QUARTET
5,10,4,3 77,301
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/4,5,10 1,374,833
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 18.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 1,907
12/10 1,505