Sha Tin · 2019-12-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT1 1.22.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 9 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 45.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GALA NIGHT XB- N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 4 | 59.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | INVALUABLE Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 3 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY Closed strongly CP K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly R Bayliss · D J Hall | R Bayliss | D J Hall | 8 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | U W BROTHER Closed strongly P- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 13 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 169.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR B1 S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | UNITED WE STAND Led early B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 5 | 25.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CHATER KING H1 A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 6 | 63.0 | 27-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SKY DARCI, ridden by U Rispoli and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with RICH AND LUCKY second and GALA NIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LEAP OF FAITH finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 28.3% | 3.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY DARCI | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | UNITED WE STAND | 9.3% | 10.74 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 8.5% | 11.76 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 7.2% | 13.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.52 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | INVALUABLE | 5.2% | 19.16 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY | 4.8% | 20.79 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 3.4% | 29.82 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.5% | 39.55 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 2.4% | 42.49 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | CHATER KING | 1.2% | 83.90 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS | 1.1% | 89.28 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 42.5
PLACE
3 94.5
10 15.5
13 124
QUINELLA
3,10 1,103.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 278
3,13 1,703.5
10,13 320
TIERCE
10,3,13 53,359
TRIO
3,10,13 10,685
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 8,188
QUARTET
10,3,13,8 370,341
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —