Sha Tin · 2019-12-01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEGATRON Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI Closed strongly B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 12 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MR MAGELLAN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE B-/PC2/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 2 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PEACE ON EARTH Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 65.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MI BLANCO B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKAGE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B-/TT N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 8 | 50.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL FLARE B R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 3 | 45.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CONTENDER M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 27.0 | 51-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHATER THUNDER A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-01 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MEGATRON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3-1/4, with MASTER BERNINI second and MR MAGELLAN third. The winner led throughout. The 2.3 favourite MR MAGELLAN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI | 21.5% | 4.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MR MAGELLAN | 18.7% | 5.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MEGATRON | 15.6% | 6.39 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MI BLANCO | 8.4% | 11.91 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 7.9% | 12.74 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 7.5% | 13.28 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | NATURAL FLARE | 4.8% | 20.69 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | ROCKAGE | 4.0% | 24.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL CONTENDER | 3.7% | 27.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 3.3% | 30.62 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.8% | 35.99 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | PEACE ON EARTH | 1.9% | 53.74 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 134.5
PLACE
1 12.5
6 34.5
11 18
QUINELLA
6,11 397.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 56
1,11 29
6,11 109
TIERCE
6,11,1 1,933
TRIO
1,6,11 222
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 153
QUARTET
6,11,1,12 5,500
1ST DOUBLE
10/6 464
10/11 35
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —