Sha Tin · 2019-12-01
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V 1.38.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 5.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM Closed strongly P/XB A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 5 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ENDEARING Closed strongly B-/PC2/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 9 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 13 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COBY OPPA CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY ICON B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | DEAL MAKER Led early H A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 14 | 5.6 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION B/H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P2/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 141.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | GRAN MASTER H/V T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 4 | 109.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ENFOLDING, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with HOLY HEART second and LAST KINGDOM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 18.0% | 5.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DEAL MAKER | 16.5% | 6.04 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | COBY OPPA | 11.9% | 8.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 8.9% | 11.25 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | VOLPINO | 8.1% | 12.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.3% | 13.68 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY ICON | 5.9% | 16.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | ENDEARING | 5.5% | 18.04 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 5.3% | 18.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 3.9% | 25.59 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM | 2.9% | 34.69 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAN MASTER | 2.4% | 41.35 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.8% | 56.28 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.5% | 65.39 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 41
PLACE
6 23.5
9 49
13 16.5
QUINELLA
6,13 153
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 253.5
6,13 58
9,13 169.5
TIERCE
13,6,9 4,089
TRIO
6,9,13 793
FIRST 4
2,6,9,13 3,051
6,9,13,14 910
QUARTET
13,6,9,2 43,189
13,6,9,14 16,331
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 17
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 19.5
2/13 176.5