Happy Valley · 2019-12-18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN Wire to wire SR 1.38.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 2 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 7 | 5.6 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly CP1 J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 4 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P-/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 81.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 3.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 11 | 6.8 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD B G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 3 | 8.2 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL Closed strongly N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 12 | 228.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ENZEMBLE XB/H1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 97.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | JOLLY GENE · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2019-12-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAR AGAIN, ridden by A Badel and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 4, with PARTY TOGETHER second and ACCLAIMED LIGHT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite GIFT OF LIFELINE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 28.1% | 3.56 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 16.6% | 6.03 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 12.7% | 7.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD | 11.6% | 8.62 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 9.9% | 10.11 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 6.9% | 14.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 6.3% | 15.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 3.4% | 29.31 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST | 2.4% | 42.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.1% | 87.47 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 0.5% | 184.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL | 0.5% | 195.96 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 58.5
PLACE
4 20
10 20.5
12 73.5
QUINELLA
4,10 141.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 50.5
4,12 283
10,12 309.5
TIERCE
10,4,12 6,597
TRIO
4,10,12 1,174
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 2,435
QUARTET
10,4,12,3 38,205
3 PICK 1
A2 16.5
A3 —
A1 —
All pools (3 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 112
10/10 672.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,10/1,7,10/4,10,12 4,456,428
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,10/1,7,10/Any Combination 9,753