Sha Tin · 2019-12-21
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR Closed strongly B 1.36.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly B N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B/TT1 J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR XB M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TIGERLAD Led early B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 8 | 63.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR H H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 94.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHACHAUP B-/TT T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 6 | 107.0 | 28-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MY DEAR K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-21 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LIVERBIRD STAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 3/4, with MONEY WINNER second and REGENCY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite REGENCY GEM finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER | 26.6% | 3.76 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 21.6% | 4.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 19.9% | 5.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR | 14.2% | 7.04 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 7.5% | 13.25 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.6% | 60.74 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CHACHAUP | 1.0% | 95.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | TIGERLAD | 0.7% | 140.94 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 45
PLACE
3 12
5 17
7 21.5
QUINELLA
5,7 192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 24.5
3,7 45
5,7 53
TIERCE
5,7,3 898
TRIO
3,5,7 118
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 95
QUARTET
5,7,3,8 2,871
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18
A3 —