Sha Tin · 2019-12-21
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB 2.01.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 13 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEFANO Closed strongly CP J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 7 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY SIX Closed strongly H/PC/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 10 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RED WARRIOR Closed strongly TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER H C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Led early SR H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 64.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CORDYCEPS B H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 2 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 12 | 106.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY B M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 1 | 18.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-21 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS DRAGON, ridden by A Badel and trained by A T Millard, won by 1/2, with CHEFANO second and HELENE LEADINGSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CHEFANO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEFANO | 40.2% | 2.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 9.9% | 10.08 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 9.7% | 10.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH REV | 8.3% | 11.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 7.4% | 13.56 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 4.3% | 23.17 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY SIX | 3.9% | 25.59 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CORDYCEPS | 3.6% | 27.55 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 3.5% | 28.69 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 3.0% | 33.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | RED WARRIOR | 2.6% | 39.13 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 2.2% | 44.84 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 1.3% | 75.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 133
PLACE
5 18
10 37
11 13
QUINELLA
10,11 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 111.5
5,11 34.5
10,11 58.5
TIERCE
10,11,5 2,031
TRIO
5,10,11 235
FIRST 4
5,10,11,13 385
QUARTET
10,11,5,13 10,771
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 32.5
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/10 414
4/11 18