Sha Tin · 2019-12-21
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DUKE WAI B 0.56.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 5 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 53.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASSIVE POCKET XB M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 1.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR LUCK K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY VICTORY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 14 | 92.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 7 | 4.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KASI FARASI H/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 12 | 171.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | THE WEATHERMAN K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 6 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 242.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | COPARTNER SPIRIT H1/XB1 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 3 | 128.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SO GLORIOUS H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 401.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-21 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. DUKE WAI, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1, with TAKE WHAT YOU NEED second and HONG KONG WIN third. The 1.7 favourite LUCKY MORE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MORE | 36.7% | 2.72 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 19.2% | 5.21 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | MASSIVE POCKET | 4.2% | 23.57 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN | 4.0% | 25.07 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 3.4% | 29.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 2.8% | 35.44 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR LUCK | 2.8% | 35.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 2.2% | 46.13 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 1.1% | 87.53 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY VICTORY | 0.9% | 115.53 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | THE WEATHERMAN | 0.7% | 146.82 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.5% | 194.52 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.4% | 258.96 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 57.5
PLACE
4 15
7 35.5
12 66.5
QUINELLA
4,7 491.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 94.5
4,12 197
7,12 519
TIERCE
4,7,12 13,492
TRIO
4,7,12 3,146
FIRST 4
4,7,9,12 4,032
QUARTET
4,7,12,9 57,482
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21.5
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 57
3/7 54.5