Sha Tin · 2019-12-21
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING'S MAN Closed strongly V 1.48.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 11 | 37.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BLASTOISE Led early Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 8 | 4.2 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 8.4 | N |
| 5 | 0 | C P POWER V/TT G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ABOVE B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 14 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL B-/H- A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL POWER XB L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 1 | 86.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 141.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN H/XB J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 3.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER B/H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLIE WAY Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 67.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GARLIC YEAH B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HAY RUN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 170.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-21 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. KING'S MAN, ridden by N Callan and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with GOD OF DRAGON second and BLASTOISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite DIONYSUS COLLIN finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 21.2% | 4.73 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 20.4% | 4.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE | 13.0% | 7.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 8.3% | 12.02 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL | 5.9% | 16.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | C P POWER | 5.8% | 17.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 5.3% | 18.80 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KING'S MAN | 5.1% | 19.75 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 4.8% | 20.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GARLIC YEAH | 3.2% | 31.07 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | HAY RUN | 2.3% | 43.14 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLIE WAY | 2.1% | 48.41 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.5% | 65.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | FULL POWER | 1.2% | 85.47 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 374.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 27
5 79.5
QUINELLA
3,5 1,713.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 66.5
1,5 196.5
3,5 373
TIERCE
5,3,1 21,516
TRIO
1,3,5 1,715
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 2,843
QUARTET
5,3,1,4 121,541
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (2 more)
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 1,062.5
7/5 14,637
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8>2,9/1,7,14/Any Combination 109,575