Happy Valley · 2020-02-12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BULB ELITE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with EVERYONE'S ELITE second and STARLIT KNIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite EVERYONE'S ELITE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BULB ELITE Closed strongly 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | EVERYONE'S ELITE Closed strongly B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 1 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 3 | STARLIT KNIGHT Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PRO FIT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | VITAL SPRING TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY ANGEL Led early TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 6 | 66.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | DRAGON BOLT Closed strongly B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 12 | 126.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | MILLENNIUM DAWN V/SR1/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 267.0 | 24 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 43.4% | 2.31 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 12.9% | 7.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | VITAL SPRING | 9.5% | 10.56 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | VILLA FIONN | 8.3% | 12.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER | 6.9% | 14.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CHARITY WINGS | 6.8% | 14.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | PRO FIT | 3.7% | 27.08 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 2.5% | 40.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | BULB ELITE | 2.4% | 42.53 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 1.6% | 60.91 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | DRAGON BOLT | 1.4% | 72.28 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | MILLENNIUM DAWN | 0.8% | 131.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 175
PLACE
3 18.5
11 10.5
12 42
QUINELLA
11,12 134
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 24.5
3,12 122.5
11,12 56.5
TIERCE
12,11,3 1,621
TRIO
3,11,12 218
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 419
QUARTET
12,11,3,2 11,954
1ST DOUBLE
5/11 23.5
5/12 787.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A2 —
A1 —