Happy Valley · 2020-02-12
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRONGER CP 0.56.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 2 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B- K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 6 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 11 | 112.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | MONTREAL B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 89.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA TT T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 4 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FORZA ANGEL B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 1 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED XB C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-12 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STRONGER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1-3/4, with HONG KONG WIN second and MULTIMILLION third. The 2.2 favourite HONG KONG WIN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN | 26.2% | 3.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STRONGER | 25.3% | 3.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 7.5% | 13.29 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED | 7.3% | 13.79 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MULTIMILLION | 5.1% | 19.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER | 4.1% | 24.57 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | CUE THE MUSIC | 3.2% | 31.04 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA | 2.2% | 45.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MONTREAL | 1.8% | 54.52 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.3% | 78.36 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FORZA ANGEL | 1.2% | 84.92 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 29.5
PLACE
2 38
3 13
4 12.5
QUINELLA
3,4 34
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 73.5
2,4 62
3,4 18
TIERCE
3,4,2 595
TRIO
2,3,4 133
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 345
QUARTET
3,4,2,1 5,384
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 871
1/4 109.5