Happy Valley · 2020-02-12
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT Closed strongly B 1.48.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly H/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 3.2 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FULL POWER Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ROYAL RACER C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GALA NIGHT CP G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 8 | 5.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 5 | 44.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 30.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | DYNASTA B/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 10 | 112.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | C P POWER V/TT T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 11 | 23.0 | 21-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-12 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ACCLAIMED LIGHT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 2-3/4, with PRESIDENT STAR second and DIONYSUS COLLIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite DIONYSUS COLLIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 23.9% | 4.18 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 22.3% | 4.48 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 15.3% | 6.52 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 8.9% | 11.20 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 6.3% | 15.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 5.0% | 20.09 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 4.8% | 20.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL POWER | 3.9% | 25.73 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.4% | 28.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | C P POWER | 3.3% | 30.27 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.8% | 57.11 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | DYNASTA | 1.0% | 102.28 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 222
PLACE
1 54.5
8 13.5
12 68.5
QUINELLA
1,12 2,062
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 124.5
1,12 580
8,12 143
TIERCE
1,12,8 25,989
TRIO
1,8,12 2,379
FIRST 4
1,2,8,12 4,018
QUARTET
1,12,8,2 133,577
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/1,8,12 199,876
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 1,846
3/12 375.5