Happy Valley · 2020-02-12
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly B-/SR-/CP1 1.39.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 9 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RACING LUCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 7 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PICKEN Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PLAY WISE B H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 1 | 8.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 12 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | STARSHIP B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 54.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VIGOR FAME Led early H/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 9.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY CP B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 10 | 59.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | REYNOLDS K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FARSHAD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with RACING LUCK second and FLYING QUEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite SOLAR WAI WAI finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FARSHAD | 18.3% | 5.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 15.6% | 6.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | VIGOR FAME | 14.8% | 6.74 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | RACING LUCK | 10.8% | 9.24 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 7.7% | 13.00 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 6.2% | 16.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PICKEN | 5.7% | 17.66 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | STARSHIP | 5.2% | 19.15 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE | 2.7% | 37.67 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 2.5% | 40.22 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 2.3% | 43.66 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 50.5
PLACE
1 33.5
8 20.5
9 21
QUINELLA
8,9 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 94.5
1,9 99
8,9 63.5
TIERCE
9,8,1 1,831
TRIO
1,8,9 450
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 260
QUARTET
9,8,1,2 5,953
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/8 31.5
10/9 120