Happy Valley · 2020-03-18
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 2 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 56.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | HERCULES XB1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ALCARI B N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 8 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING JOY B/SR/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 3 | 285.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNSHINE WARRIOR, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with HEAVENLY THOUGHT second and REEL BIZZY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite HEAVENLY THOUGHT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 20.0% | 5.00 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 15.6% | 6.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 13.1% | 7.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 9.6% | 10.39 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.4% | 10.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 8.3% | 12.02 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 7.9% | 12.62 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ALCARI | 4.4% | 22.96 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 4.3% | 23.47 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HERCULES | 3.7% | 27.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | STARSHIP | 3.2% | 31.27 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING JOY | 0.5% | 182.01 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 106
PLACE
4 20.5
8 15.5
9 28
QUINELLA
8,9 202
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 45
4,9 82.5
8,9 82
TIERCE
9,8,4 2,292
TRIO
4,8,9 283
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 563
QUARTET
9,8,4,5 14,690
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,8,9 11,046
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/8 95.5
6/9 877.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,9/1,3,6/4,8,9 716,379
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 1,627