Happy Valley · 2020-03-18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-18 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with WALDORF second and ENCORE BOY third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING STAR 1.09.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WALDORF B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ENCORE BOY B G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 12 | 44.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE BOOTH PC-/CP2 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 6 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | JOYFUL UNION M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNSET WATCH XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MOMENT OF POWER B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | MR LUMIERES T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 9 | 113.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | STYLING CITY B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 4 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING STAR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 14.1% | 7.11 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | JOYFUL UNION | 11.6% | 8.62 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 9.1% | 11.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | WALDORF | 6.4% | 15.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | ENCORE BOY | 6.0% | 16.64 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SUNSET WATCH | 5.8% | 17.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENT OF POWER | 3.7% | 26.92 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | FORTUNE BOOTH | 3.1% | 32.57 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | MR LUMIERES | 2.4% | 42.35 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | STYLING CITY | 1.9% | 52.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 15.5
4 18.5
6 83.5
QUINELLA
2,4 135
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 52
2,6 197
4,6 367
TIERCE
2,4,6 3,829
TRIO
2,4,6 1,241
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 4,159
QUARTET
2,4,6,8 49,439
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,12/2,4,6 455,473
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 699.5
5/4 208.5
SIX UP
9,11/1,9/1,6/8,9/5,6/2,4 18,310
11/1/6/9/5/2 1,219,298
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/5/2 5,894
9/5/4 1,809